Premier Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Krasnodar | 30 | 66 | 57.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +5.9 | +2.6 | 1:2 vs Spartak Moscow (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Rubin Kazan (-2.0) |
2 | Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 | 36.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 10 | +6.6 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs Dynamo Moscow (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Baltika (-1.5) |
3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 30 | 53 | 47.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 6 | +5.2 | +0.5 | 1:2 vs Krasnodar (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Krylya Sovetov (-1.7) |
4 | Zenit | 30 | 68 | 62.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 1 | +7.4 | -2.2 | 0:2 vs Krasnodar (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Orenburg (-2.2) |
5 | Baltika | 30 | 46 | 42.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 7 | +1.5 | +1.8 | 0:3 vs Spartak Moscow (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Akron Togliatti (-2.0) |
6 | CSKA Moscow | 30 | 51 | 48.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 5 | +5.5 | -2.9 | 3:1 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Sochi (-2.4) |
7 | Krylya Sovetov | 30 | 32 | 31.0 | +1.0On expectation | 13 | +8.9 | -7.9 | 2:1 vs Spartak Moscow (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Sochi (-1.4) |
8 | R. Volgograd | 2 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5On expectation | 17 | -1.5 | +2.0 | 0:1 vs Akron Togliatti (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Akron Togliatti (-1.5) |
9 | Orenburg | 30 | 29 | 30.1 | -1.1On expectation | 14 | +2.8 | -3.9 | 2:1 vs Zenit (+2.4) | 3:1 vs Sochi (-1.5) |
10 | Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 | 39.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 9 | +5.2 | -7.3 | 1:0 vs Zenit (+2.3) | 2:4 vs Sochi (-2.1) |
11 | Spartak Moscow | 30 | 52 | 54.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 3 | +2.9 | -5.3 | 1:0 vs CSKA Moscow (+1.4) | 0:3 vs Baltika (-2.2) |
12 | Ural | 2 | 0 | 2.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 18 | -1.4 | -1.0 | 2:0 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (+-1.0) | 0:1 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (-1.4) |
13 | Akron Togliatti | 32 | 30 | 33.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 12 | -9.4 | +5.8 | 1:2 vs Dynamo Moscow (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Orenburg (-1.7) |
14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 32 | 32 | 36.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 11 | +2.4 | -6.7 | 1:0 vs Dynamo Moscow (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Pari NN (-1.8) |
15 | Dynamo Moscow | 30 | 45 | 49.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 4 | -5.3 | +0.7 | 2:1 vs Krasnodar (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Akron Togliatti (-2.3) |
16 | Pari NN | 30 | 23 | 27.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 15 | -1.2 | -3.6 | 0:1 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Akron Togliatti (-1.4) |
17 | Sochi | 30 | 22 | 26.9 | -5.0Underperforming | 16 | -3.5 | -1.4 | 0:1 vs CSKA Moscow (+2.6) | 0:4 vs Akron Togliatti (-1.5) |
18 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 | 39.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 8 | -8.3 | +1.5 | 1:0 vs CSKA Moscow (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Sochi (-2.1) |
