Premier Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Khimki | 30 | 45 | 31.3 | +13.7Outperforming ++ | 13 | +10.6 | +3.1 | 0:1 vs Dynamo Moscow (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Akhmat Grozny (-1.4) |
2 | Sochi | 30 | 53 | 42.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 8 | +10.0 | +0.3 | 1:3 vs Krasnodar (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Ural (-1.5) |
3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 30 | 56 | 46.0 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 6 | +10.1 | -0.1 | 0:1 vs CSKA Moscow (+2.0) | 1:2 vs R. Volgograd (-2.2) |
4 | Rubin Kazan | 30 | 53 | 43.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 7 | -1.2 | +10.7 | 1:2 vs Zenit (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Khimki (-2.0) |
5 | Spartak Moscow | 30 | 57 | 52.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 3 | +1.6 | +2.7 | 1:2 vs Dynamo Moscow (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Ufa (-2.1) |
6 | Ural | 30 | 34 | 30.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 14 | +6.7 | -2.9 | 1:0 vs Krasnodar (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Khimki (-1.3) |
7 | FK Rostov | 30 | 43 | 40.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 10 | -3.0 | +5.7 | 0:1 vs Spartak Moscow (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Khimki (-1.8) |
8 | Dynamo Moscow | 30 | 50 | 47.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 5 | +6.0 | -3.8 | 1:0 vs Zenit (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Khimki (-2.2) |
9 | Zenit | 30 | 65 | 63.3 | +1.7On expectation | 1 | +6.2 | -4.5 | 2:3 vs CSKA Moscow (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Rubin Kazan (-2.1) |
10 | Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 40 | 41.2 | -1.2On expectation | 9 | +1.0 | -2.2 | 0:5 vs Krasnodar (+2.2) | 0:1 vs FK Rostov (-1.7) |
11 | R. Volgograd | 30 | 22 | 25.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 15 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Tambov (-1.2) |
12 | CSKA Moscow | 30 | 50 | 54.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 2 | -0.8 | -3.8 | 3:1 vs Spartak Moscow (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Arsenal Tula (-2.0) |
13 | Tambov | 30 | 13 | 19.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 16 | -3.8 | -2.8 | 1:0 vs Khimki (+1.7) | 1:3 vs R. Volgograd (-1.1) |
14 | Ufa | 30 | 25 | 32.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 12 | -6.2 | -1.6 | 0:3 vs Spartak Moscow (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Ural (-1.6) |
15 | Krasnodar | 30 | 41 | 52.1 | -11.1Underperforming −− | 4 | -2.9 | -8.2 | 0:1 vs Rubin Kazan (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Khimki (-2.0) |
16 | Arsenal Tula | 30 | 23 | 34.2 | -11.2Underperforming −− | 11 | +1.9 | -13.1 | 2:1 vs CSKA Moscow (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Ufa (-1.5) |
