Premier Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Krasnodar | 30 | 67 | 53.4 | +13.6Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.5 | +7.1 | 2:0 vs Zenit (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Spartak Moscow (-1.5) |
2 | Rubin Kazan | 30 | 45 | 36.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 10 | +8.2 | +0.7 | 2:1 vs Spartak Moscow (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Khimki (-1.9) |
3 | CSKA Moscow | 30 | 59 | 50.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 4 | -0.8 | +9.3 | 1:2 vs Spartak Moscow (+2.2) | 1:2 vs FK Rostov (-1.8) |
4 | Dynamo Moscow | 30 | 56 | 49.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 5 | +7.4 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs Spartak Moscow (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Krasnodar (-1.5) |
5 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 30 | 53 | 47.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +4.6 | +0.7 | 0:1 vs CSKA Moscow (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Khimki (-2.0) |
6 | Akron Togliatti | 30 | 35 | 30.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 14 | +1.1 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Zenit (+2.7) | 1:4 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (-1.4) |
7 | Spartak Moscow | 30 | 57 | 54.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 2 | +1.3 | +0.9 | 0:3 vs Krasnodar (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (-2.3) |
8 | Zenit | 30 | 66 | 64.7 | +1.3On expectation | 1 | -1.8 | +3.1 | 0:1 vs CSKA Moscow (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Akron Togliatti (-2.6) |
9 | Pari NN | 30 | 27 | 27.2 | -0.2On expectation | 16 | +0.1 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Orenburg (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Orenburg (-1.6) |
10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 30 | 29 | 31.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 13 | -1.6 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs Spartak Moscow (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Pari NN (-1.6) |
11 | Khimki | 30 | 29 | 31.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 12 | +0.8 | -3.8 | 1:3 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (+2.2) | 3:0 vs Akron Togliatti (-1.4) |
12 | FK Rostov | 30 | 39 | 44.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 7 | -5.4 | +0.3 | 1:2 vs CSKA Moscow (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Akron Togliatti (-2.1) |
13 | Krylya Sovetov | 30 | 31 | 37.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 9 | -4.8 | -1.6 | 2:3 vs Zenit (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Dynamo Makhachkala (-1.9) |
14 | Fakel Voronezh | 30 | 18 | 28.9 | -10.9Underperforming −− | 15 | -5.4 | -5.5 | 2:3 vs Akhmat Grozny (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Akron Togliatti (-1.7) |
15 | Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 25 | 38.4 | -13.4Underperforming −− | 8 | -5.1 | -8.3 | 2:3 vs FK Rostov (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Pari NN (-1.9) |
16 | Orenburg | 30 | 19 | 33.0 | -14.1Underperforming −− | 11 | -6.1 | -8.0 | 2:0 vs Spartak Moscow (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Pari NN (-2.1) |
