Premier Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | FK Rostov | 30 | 53 | 41.4 | +11.6Outperforming ++ | 8 | +6.2 | +5.3 | 1:3 vs Ural (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Fakel Voronezh (-1.9) |
2 | Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 50 | 39.7 | +10.3Outperforming ++ | 10 | +1.2 | +9.0 | 1:2 vs Zenit (+2.7) | 1:3 vs Pari NN (-1.8) |
3 | Orenburg | 30 | 46 | 37.8 | +8.2Outperforming ++ | 12 | +10.5 | -2.3 | 0:4 vs Sochi (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Khimki (-1.9) |
4 | Krasnodar | 30 | 48 | 41.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 7 | +4.3 | +2.0 | 2:1 vs Sochi (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Akhmat Grozny (-1.5) |
5 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 30 | 45 | 41.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 9 | -2.4 | +6.4 | 2:4 vs Dynamo Moscow (+2.0) | 2:4 vs Ural (-1.9) |
6 | Zenit | 30 | 70 | 66.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 1 | +4.4 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs Fakel Voronezh (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Akhmat Grozny (-2.6) |
7 | CSKA Moscow | 30 | 58 | 54.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 2 | +6.5 | -2.9 | 1:0 vs Zenit (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Torpedo Moscow (-2.5) |
8 | Spartak Moscow | 30 | 54 | 53.0 | +1.0On expectation | 3 | +3.7 | -2.7 | 2:1 vs CSKA Moscow (+1.7) | 2:0 vs Orenburg (-1.7) |
9 | Pari NN | 30 | 30 | 30.8 | -0.8On expectation | 14 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs CSKA Moscow (+2.5) | 0:3 vs Torpedo Moscow (-1.8) |
10 | Dynamo Moscow | 30 | 45 | 46.6 | -1.6On expectation | 4 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs Spartak Moscow (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Fakel Voronezh (-2.0) |
11 | Ural | 30 | 36 | 38.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 11 | -2.9 | +0.7 | 2:4 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Pari NN (-1.7) |
12 | Fakel Voronezh | 30 | 30 | 33.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 13 | +0.8 | -4.5 | 0:2 vs Dynamo Moscow (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Torpedo Moscow (-1.6) |
13 | Sochi | 30 | 38 | 44.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 5 | +2.5 | -9.2 | 0:2 vs Dynamo Moscow (+1.9) | 0:4 vs Orenburg (-1.9) |
14 | Khimki | 30 | 18 | 26.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 15 | -2.3 | -5.7 | 2:0 vs Orenburg (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (-1.4) |
15 | Torpedo Moscow | 30 | 13 | 23.4 | -10.4Underperforming −− | 16 | -6.0 | -4.4 | 1:0 vs CSKA Moscow (+2.6) | 1:3 vs Khimki (-1.2) |
16 | Krylya Sovetov | 30 | 32 | 42.9 | -10.9Underperforming −− | 6 | -6.3 | -4.6 | 1:2 vs Akhmat Grozny (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Akhmat Grozny (-1.7) |
