Premier Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 30 | 53 | 43.9 | +9.2Outperforming ++ | 6 | +3.0 | +6.2 | 1:2 vs Zenit (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Orenburg (-1.9) |
2 | Dynamo Moscow | 30 | 56 | 47.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 5 | +6.2 | +2.7 | 2:3 vs Zenit (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Ural (-1.7) |
3 | Krasnodar | 30 | 56 | 48.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +8.1 | -0.5 | 1:3 vs Dynamo Moscow (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Akhmat Grozny (-2.0) |
4 | Rubin Kazan | 30 | 42 | 35.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 14 | +0.8 | +5.7 | 0:2 vs Zenit (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Pari NN (-1.6) |
5 | FK Rostov | 30 | 43 | 39.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 7 | +8.1 | -4.7 | 1:4 vs Dynamo Moscow (+1.9) | 1:5 vs Spartak Moscow (-1.5) |
6 | Krylya Sovetov | 30 | 41 | 38.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 8 | +5.0 | -2.3 | 1:2 vs Akhmat Grozny (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Akhmat Grozny (-1.5) |
7 | Spartak Moscow | 30 | 50 | 47.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 4 | +6.2 | -3.9 | 1:5 vs FK Rostov (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Fakel Voronezh (-2.0) |
8 | CSKA Moscow | 30 | 48 | 48.3 | -0.3On expectation | 3 | +2.0 | -2.3 | 0:1 vs Zenit (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Akhmat Grozny (-2.1) |
9 | Fakel Voronezh | 30 | 32 | 33.4 | -1.4On expectation | 15 | -0.7 | -0.7 | 0:2 vs Spartak Moscow (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Krylya Sovetov (-1.4) |
10 | Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 35 | 36.6 | -1.6On expectation | 10 | -3.8 | +2.1 | 1:2 vs CSKA Moscow (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Fakel Voronezh (-1.7) |
11 | Pari NN | 30 | 30 | 31.6 | -1.6On expectation | 16 | +5.6 | -7.2 | 0:1 vs Rubin Kazan (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Fakel Voronezh (-1.2) |
12 | Zenit | 30 | 57 | 60.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 1 | -4.0 | +0.6 | 1:3 vs Spartak Moscow (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Rubin Kazan (-2.3) |
13 | Orenburg | 30 | 31 | 37.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 9 | +0.0 | -6.0 | 3:1 vs Zenit (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Fakel Voronezh (-1.9) |
14 | Ural | 30 | 30 | 36.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 11 | -1.7 | -4.6 | 2:1 vs Dynamo Moscow (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Sochi (-1.6) |
15 | Baltika | 30 | 26 | 35.9 | -9.9Underperforming −− | 13 | +0.0 | -9.9 | 1:7 vs Akhmat Grozny (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Lokomotiv Moscow (-1.5) |
16 | Sochi | 30 | 24 | 36.1 | -12.1Underperforming −− | 12 | -3.9 | -8.2 | 1:4 vs Ural (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Rubin Kazan (-1.6) |
