Eredivisiehub →Eredivisie 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sittard | 7 | 13 | 6.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 14 | -0.4 | +6.5 | 2:3 vs Groningen (+2.3) | 0:2 vs AZ Alkmaar (-0.8) |
2 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 19 | 14.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 3 | +0.5 | +3.7 | 1:4 vs Utrecht (+1.5) | 1:1 vs Willem II (-1.6) |
3 | Excelsior | 7 | 11 | 8.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 10 | -0.8 | +3.6 | 0:4 vs Cambuur (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Utrecht (-1.5) |
4 | Twente | 7 | 16 | 14.2 | +1.8On expectation | 5 | +3.5 | -1.7 | 3:2 vs PSV (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Heerenveen (-1.6) |
5 | Feyenoord | 7 | 17 | 15.4 | +1.6On expectation | 1 | -2.3 | +3.9 | 1:3 vs Nijmegen (+1.5) | 2:2 vs Den Haag (-1.5) |
6 | PSV | 7 | 16 | 14.7 | +1.3On expectation | 4 | -0.5 | +1.8 | 1:3 vs Ajax (+1.6) | 2:2 vs Sittard (-1.5) |
7 | Groningen | 7 | 11 | 9.8 | +1.2On expectation | 8 | +0.3 | +0.9 | 1:4 vs Den Haag (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Sittard (-2.1) |
8 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 10 | 8.9 | +1.1On expectation | 9 | +1.5 | -0.4 | 3:1 vs Den Haag (+1.1) | 5:2 vs AZ Alkmaar (-0.5) |
9 | Cambuur | 7 | 5 | 5.8 | -0.8On expectation | 16 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 3:0 vs Nijmegen (+2.2) | 0:4 vs Excelsior (-1.3) |
10 | Ajax | 7 | 14 | 15.0 | -1.0On expectation | 2 | -3.6 | +2.6 | 0:4 vs Telstar (+0.9) | 2:2 vs Excelsior (-1.4) |
11 | Heerenveen | 7 | 9 | 10.1 | -1.1On expectation | 7 | -2.2 | +1.1 | 1:0 vs Twente (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Zwolle (-2.1) |
12 | Zwolle | 7 | 4 | 5.4 | -1.4On expectation | 18 | -2.4 | +1.0 | 0:2 vs Heerenveen (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Nijmegen (-1.1) |
13 | Telstar | 7 | 5 | 6.5 | -1.5On expectation | 15 | -3.2 | +1.6 | 1:2 vs Nijmegen (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Sparta Rotterdam (-1.6) |
14 | Utrecht | 7 | 5 | 7.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 12 | -2.5 | -0.2 | 1:2 vs Excelsior (+1.8) | 1:4 vs AZ Alkmaar (-1.2) |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 | 8.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 11 | -3.2 | +0.3 | 1:3 vs Telstar (+1.8) | 0:4 vs Heerenveen (-1.4) |
16 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 5.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 17 | -3.3 | -0.3 | 1:1 vs AZ Alkmaar (+0.7) | 0:1 vs Sittard (-1.4) |
17 | Nijmegen | 7 | 8 | 12.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 6 | -4.6 | +0.4 | 1:3 vs Zwolle (+1.3) | 1:2 vs Telstar (-2.1) |
18 | Den Haag | 7 | 2 | 6.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 13 | -3.8 | -1.2 | 2:2 vs Feyenoord (+0.7) | 2:3 vs Sittard (-1.7) |