Eredivisiehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sittard | 34 | 41 | 34.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 15 | -1.9 | +8.1 | 1:3 vs Heerenveen (+2.2) | 1:3 vs FC Emmen (-1.5) |
2 | Ajax | 34 | 88 | 82.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.4 | +4.6 | 0:3 vs AZ Alkmaar (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Twente (-2.5) |
3 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 71 | 65.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.0 | +2.9 | 1:3 vs PSV (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Groningen (-2.0) |
4 | Groningen | 34 | 50 | 44.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 9 | +1.9 | +3.8 | 1:0 vs Ajax (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Heracles (-1.6) |
5 | Vitesse | 34 | 61 | 56.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 6 | +6.2 | -1.4 | 1:3 vs Utrecht (+2.1) | 4:1 vs Venlo (-2.2) |
6 | PSV | 34 | 72 | 69.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 2 | +4.8 | -2.3 | 1:3 vs Groningen (+1.4) | 1:3 vs AZ Alkmaar (-1.7) |
7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 47 | 44.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 8 | -2.6 | +4.9 | 0:2 vs Twente (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Willem II (-1.9) |
8 | Heracles | 34 | 44 | 42.6 | +1.4On expectation | 11 | +4.1 | -2.7 | 4:1 vs Utrecht (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Waalwijk (-2.0) |
9 | Waalwijk | 34 | 30 | 31.0 | -1.0On expectation | 16 | +1.4 | -2.4 | 0:2 vs Twente (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Den Haag (-1.8) |
10 | Zwolle | 34 | 38 | 39.4 | -1.4On expectation | 13 | +2.2 | -3.6 | 2:1 vs Vitesse (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Sittard (-1.7) |
11 | Feyenoord | 34 | 59 | 61.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 4 | -0.6 | -1.9 | 1:2 vs Utrecht (+1.9) | 3:2 vs Den Haag (-2.4) |
12 | Den Haag | 34 | 22 | 24.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 18 | -4.9 | +2.1 | 3:2 vs Feyenoord (+2.5) | 1:4 vs Venlo (-1.3) |
13 | Heerenveen | 34 | 39 | 43.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 10 | -0.7 | -4.0 | 3:0 vs Feyenoord (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Sittard (-1.9) |
14 | Twente | 34 | 41 | 45.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 7 | -7.4 | +2.6 | 1:2 vs Ajax (+2.7) | 0:2 vs Waalwijk (-2.2) |
15 | Venlo | 34 | 23 | 28.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 17 | -2.9 | -2.9 | 4:1 vs Vitesse (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Den Haag (-1.6) |
16 | FC Emmen | 34 | 30 | 36.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 14 | -4.4 | -1.5 | 0:1 vs Utrecht (+2.6) | 3:5 vs Venlo (-1.7) |
17 | Utrecht | 34 | 53 | 59.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 5 | -7.8 | +1.1 | 0:1 vs AZ Alkmaar (+2.0) | 0:1 vs FC Emmen (-2.4) |
18 | Willem II | 34 | 31 | 39.9 | -8.9Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.6 | -6.4 | 0:2 vs Sparta Rotterdam (+2.1) | 3:2 vs Sittard (-1.5) |
