Eredivisiehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 59 | 42.0 | +17.0Outperforming ++ | 10 | +7.8 | +9.2 | 0:1 vs AZ Alkmaar (+2.3) | 2:1 vs FC Volendam (-1.4) |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 82 | 70.9 | +11.1Outperforming ++ | 3 | +1.6 | +9.5 | 2:3 vs Ajax (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Vitesse (-2.3) |
3 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 67 | 61.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 4 | -2.5 | +7.9 | 0:1 vs PSV (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Excelsior (-2.2) |
4 | FC Volendam | 34 | 36 | 31.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 17 | +8.6 | -4.0 | 1:0 vs Twente (+2.3) | 2:3 vs G.A. Eagles (-1.5) |
5 | Twente | 34 | 64 | 60.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 5 | +9.4 | -5.5 | 2:1 vs PSV (+2.1) | 1:0 vs FC Volendam (-2.1) |
6 | Excelsior | 34 | 32 | 28.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 18 | +8.9 | -5.0 | 2:1 vs AZ Alkmaar (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Nijmegen (-1.1) |
7 | Waalwijk | 34 | 41 | 37.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 12 | +8.1 | -4.6 | 1:4 vs Heerenveen (+2.0) | 4:0 vs Cambuur (-1.6) |
8 | Utrecht | 34 | 54 | 50.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 6 | -0.2 | +3.3 | 1:0 vs Twente (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Sittard (-2.0) |
9 | Sittard | 34 | 36 | 34.8 | +1.2On expectation | 15 | -1.8 | +3.0 | 1:2 vs Utrecht (+2.2) | 1:4 vs Cambuur (-1.5) |
10 | PSV | 34 | 75 | 74.2 | +0.8On expectation | 2 | +3.6 | -2.8 | 1:2 vs Ajax (+1.9) | 3:0 vs Cambuur (-2.5) |
11 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 40 | 39.4 | +0.6On expectation | 11 | +3.7 | -3.1 | 1:2 vs Utrecht (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Excelsior (-1.5) |
12 | Heerenveen | 34 | 46 | 45.6 | +0.4On expectation | 8 | -5.5 | +5.9 | 2:3 vs Nijmegen (+1.9) | 2:3 vs FC Emmen (-2.0) |
13 | Nijmegen | 34 | 39 | 43.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 9 | -7.2 | +3.1 | 0:1 vs Cambuur (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Heerenveen (-1.6) |
14 | Vitesse | 34 | 40 | 46.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 7 | -6.2 | -0.6 | 0:1 vs Feyenoord (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Sittard (-2.0) |
15 | Ajax | 34 | 69 | 77.8 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 1 | -6.3 | -2.4 | 1:2 vs Vitesse (+0.8) | 2:1 vs AZ Alkmaar (-1.9) |
16 | FC Emmen | 34 | 28 | 37.2 | -9.2Underperforming −− | 13 | -3.9 | -5.3 | 1:0 vs PSV (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Excelsior (-1.6) |
17 | Cambuur | 34 | 19 | 32.4 | -13.4Underperforming −− | 16 | -10.7 | -2.7 | 3:0 vs PSV (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Excelsior (-1.8) |
18 | Groningen | 34 | 18 | 35.5 | -17.6Underperforming −− | 14 | -9.5 | -8.1 | 4:2 vs PSV (+2.6) | 2:3 vs Sittard (-1.7) |
