Eredivisie 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | PSV | 34 | 91 | 80.3 | +10.7Outperforming ++ | 1 | +5.8 | +4.9 | 1:2 vs Feyenoord (+1.9) | 3:1 vs Nijmegen (-2.3) |
2 | Nijmegen | 34 | 53 | 45.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 7 | +1.8 | +6.0 | 3:1 vs PSV (+2.5) | 3:4 vs Excelsior (-2.2) |
3 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 49 | 43.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 10 | -3.0 | +8.2 | 0:1 vs Utrecht (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Heracles (-2.0) |
4 | Feyenoord | 34 | 84 | 79.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 2 | -0.1 | +4.5 | 1:5 vs Utrecht (+1.1) | 0:0 vs FC Volendam (-1.7) |
5 | Twente | 34 | 69 | 64.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 3 | +7.2 | -2.9 | 2:1 vs Feyenoord (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Waalwijk (-2.1) |
6 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 65 | 62.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 4 | +1.4 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Ajax (+1.6) | 5:0 vs Heracles (-2.2) |
7 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 46 | 44.4 | +1.6On expectation | 9 | -0.4 | +2.0 | 0:2 vs Heerenveen (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Heracles (-1.5) |
8 | Utrecht | 34 | 50 | 49.6 | +0.4On expectation | 6 | +0.2 | +0.3 | 0:1 vs Twente (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Almere City (-2.1) |
9 | Zwolle | 34 | 36 | 35.7 | +0.3On expectation | 14 | -3.8 | +4.1 | 0:2 vs Sparta Rotterdam (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Waalwijk (-1.7) |
10 | Heracles | 34 | 33 | 33.4 | -0.4On expectation | 16 | +1.5 | -1.9 | 5:0 vs AZ Alkmaar (+2.4) | 0:5 vs Waalwijk (-1.5) |
11 | Almere City | 34 | 34 | 34.5 | -0.5On expectation | 15 | -4.6 | +4.1 | 0:2 vs Utrecht (+2.3) | 0:5 vs Heracles (-1.8) |
12 | Sittard | 34 | 38 | 41.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 11 | +3.0 | -6.3 | 0:1 vs Waalwijk (+1.7) | 3:2 vs Vitesse (-1.6) |
13 | Excelsior | 34 | 29 | 33.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 17 | -1.1 | -3.1 | 3:4 vs Nijmegen (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Vitesse (-1.7) |
14 | FC Volendam | 34 | 19 | 23.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 18 | -3.7 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs Heerenveen (+2.6) | 0:5 vs Zwolle (-1.3) |
15 | Ajax | 34 | 56 | 61.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 5 | -0.2 | -5.1 | 2:3 vs Waalwijk (+1.7) | 4:3 vs Utrecht (-1.7) |
16 | Waalwijk | 34 | 29 | 36.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 13 | -3.7 | -3.5 | 0:2 vs Vitesse (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Heracles (-1.7) |
17 | Heerenveen | 34 | 37 | 44.7 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 8 | -5.8 | -1.9 | 0:2 vs Utrecht (+2.1) | 1:2 vs FC Volendam (-2.5) |
18 | Vitesse | 34 | 24 | 37.2 | -13.2Underperforming −− | 12 | -10.4 | -2.8 | 1:3 vs Heerenveen (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Waalwijk (-2.1) |
