Eredivisiehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Twente | 34 | 68 | 48.1 | +19.9Outperforming ++ | 6 | +7.4 | +12.5 | 1:2 vs Feyenoord (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Sittard (-2.2) |
2 | PSV | 34 | 81 | 73.0 | +8.1Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.8 | +5.3 | 0:3 vs AZ Alkmaar (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Willem II (-2.2) |
3 | Waalwijk | 34 | 38 | 32.0 | +6.0Outperforming ++ | 18 | +1.7 | +4.3 | 1:3 vs AZ Alkmaar (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Willem II (-1.5) |
4 | Cambuur | 34 | 39 | 35.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 15 | -2.9 | +6.5 | 2:3 vs Groningen (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Groningen (-1.5) |
5 | Vitesse | 34 | 51 | 47.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 7 | -6.8 | +10.0 | 0:1 vs Feyenoord (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Waalwijk (-2.1) |
6 | Sittard | 34 | 35 | 32.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 17 | +0.1 | +2.1 | 1:2 vs Twente (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Heracles (-1.6) |
7 | Nijmegen | 34 | 38 | 36.0 | +2.0On expectation | 14 | -6.3 | +8.3 | 1:2 vs Twente (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Sittard (-1.7) |
8 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 36 | 34.6 | +1.4On expectation | 16 | +1.0 | +0.4 | 2:1 vs Ajax (+2.7) | 0:2 vs Waalwijk (-1.7) |
9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 41 | 40.3 | +0.7On expectation | 10 | -2.6 | +3.3 | 1:2 vs Vitesse (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Nijmegen (-1.6) |
10 | Feyenoord | 34 | 71 | 70.4 | +0.6On expectation | 3 | -2.6 | +3.2 | 0:4 vs PSV (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Vitesse (-2.2) |
11 | Ajax | 34 | 83 | 84.3 | -1.3On expectation | 1 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs PSV (+1.3) | 2:1 vs G.A. Eagles (-2.6) |
12 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 61 | 63.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 4 | +1.2 | -3.5 | 1:2 vs Ajax (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Waalwijk (-2.5) |
13 | Willem II | 34 | 33 | 36.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 13 | +2.3 | -5.7 | 2:1 vs PSV (+2.4) | 0:1 vs G.A. Eagles (-1.7) |
14 | Groningen | 34 | 36 | 41.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 8 | -6.4 | +1.4 | 1:3 vs Utrecht (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Cambuur (-2.0) |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 35 | 40.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 11 | -4.0 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Groningen (+2.0) | 0:4 vs Cambuur (-1.8) |
16 | Heracles | 34 | 34 | 40.4 | -6.4Underperforming −− | 9 | +2.1 | -8.5 | 3:2 vs AZ Alkmaar (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Nijmegen (-1.8) |
17 | Utrecht | 34 | 47 | 54.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 5 | -1.1 | -6.6 | 0:1 vs Ajax (+2.6) | 1:0 vs Twente (-1.8) |
18 | Zwolle | 34 | 27 | 37.0 | -10.0Underperforming −− | 12 | -7.5 | -2.5 | 2:1 vs AZ Alkmaar (+2.1) | 0:1 vs G.A. Eagles (-1.7) |
