Eerste Divisiehub →Eerste Divisie 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Venlo | 14 | 29 | 19.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 9 | +3.2 | +5.8 | 0:2 vs NAC Breda (+2.4) | 4:2 vs Helmond (-1.6) |
2 | Heracles | 14 | 35 | 28.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 1 | +5.7 | +1.0 | 3:4 vs Venlo (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Almere City (-1.6) |
3 | Almere City | 14 | 28 | 21.8 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +1.3 | +4.9 | 1:0 vs Heracles (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Jong Ajax (-2.0) |
4 | FC Emmen | 13 | 25 | 20.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 7 | +3.4 | +1.3 | 0:2 vs Vitesse (+1.7) | 1:2 vs De Graafschap (-1.9) |
5 | Roda | 14 | 25 | 20.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 6 | +4.0 | +0.6 | 2:3 vs Almere City (+1.9) | 1:0 vs FC Emmen (-1.4) |
6 | Maastricht | 13 | 17 | 13.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 20 | +1.6 | +1.6 | 2:3 vs Eindhoven FC (+2.0) | 4:1 vs Oss (-1.3) |
7 | FC Volendam | 14 | 22 | 21.7 | +0.3On expectation | 5 | +5.7 | -5.4 | 2:3 vs Helmond (+1.5) | 1:2 vs De Graafschap (-1.7) |
8 | Jong Ajax | 14 | 16 | 15.9 | +0.1On expectation | 16 | -1.0 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Almere City (+2.2) | 4:6 vs FC Emmen (-1.4) |
9 | Jong PSV | 14 | 17 | 17.1 | -0.1On expectation | 13 | +0.8 | -0.9 | 1:2 vs Eindhoven FC (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Dordrecht (-1.6) |
10 | Vitesse | 13 | 18 | 18.8 | -0.8On expectation | 11 | -1.4 | +0.6 | 1:4 vs Den Bosch (+1.6) | 0:3 vs Almere City (-1.5) |
11 | Oss | 14 | 14 | 14.9 | -0.9On expectation | 18 | +4.5 | -5.4 | 4:1 vs Maastricht (+1.5) | 3:1 vs Venlo (-1.0) |
12 | Den Bosch | 14 | 19 | 20.0 | -1.0On expectation | 8 | -0.8 | -0.2 | 0:5 vs FC Emmen (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Vitesse (-1.4) |
13 | Jong AZ | 14 | 17 | 18.8 | -1.8On expectation | 10 | -2.3 | +0.5 | 2:5 vs De Graafschap (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Eindhoven FC (-1.8) |
14 | NAC Breda | 14 | 25 | 27.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 2 | -3.0 | +0.3 | 1:2 vs De Graafschap (+1.3) | 2:3 vs Jong Utrecht (-2.3) |
15 | De Graafschap | 13 | 15 | 17.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 12 | -1.9 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs FC Emmen (+2.1) | 2:5 vs Jong AZ (-1.6) |
16 | Helmond | 14 | 12 | 14.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 19 | +3.3 | -6.2 | 4:2 vs Venlo (+1.8) | 2:3 vs FC Volendam (-1.3) |
17 | Jong Utrecht | 14 | 11 | 15.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 17 | -1.9 | -2.4 | 2:3 vs NAC Breda (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Maastricht (-1.3) |
18 | Waalwijk | 14 | 17 | 21.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 3 | -1.8 | -3.0 | 4:2 vs NAC Breda (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Almere City (-1.5) |
19 | Eindhoven FC | 14 | 11 | 15.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 15 | -3.2 | -1.8 | 0:1 vs Jong AZ (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Maastricht (-1.7) |
20 | Dordrecht | 14 | 12 | 17.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 14 | -2.1 | -2.9 | 0:1 vs Jong PSV (+1.8) | 3:6 vs Jong AZ (-1.5) |