Eerste Divisiehub →Eerste Divisie 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Venlo | 7 | 15 | 9.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 13 | +3.3 | +2.4 | 0:2 vs NAC Breda (+2.4) | 4:2 vs Helmond (-1.6) |
2 | Almere City | 7 | 16 | 10.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 9 | +1.0 | +4.5 | 1:0 vs Heracles (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Jong Ajax (-2.0) |
3 | Maastricht | 7 | 13 | 7.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 18 | +2.0 | +3.2 | 2:3 vs Eindhoven FC (+2.0) | 0:4 vs Almere City (-1.2) |
4 | Heracles | 7 | 18 | 13.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 1 | +2.5 | +1.7 | 3:4 vs Venlo (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Almere City (-1.6) |
5 | Vitesse | 7 | 13 | 11.2 | +1.8On expectation | 7 | +0.1 | +1.6 | 1:4 vs Den Bosch (+1.6) | 0:3 vs Almere City (-1.5) |
6 | Eindhoven FC | 7 | 10 | 8.3 | +1.7On expectation | 17 | +1.1 | +0.6 | 0:1 vs Jong AZ (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Maastricht (-1.7) |
7 | Roda | 7 | 12 | 10.5 | +1.5On expectation | 10 | +2.4 | -0.9 | 0:1 vs Dordrecht (+1.6) | 1:0 vs FC Emmen (-1.4) |
8 | Waalwijk | 7 | 13 | 11.8 | +1.2On expectation | 5 | +1.0 | +0.2 | 4:2 vs NAC Breda (+1.8) | 2:2 vs Jong PSV (-1.0) |
9 | FC Emmen | 7 | 12 | 10.9 | +1.1On expectation | 8 | +2.7 | -1.6 | 1:0 vs Roda (+1.7) | 1:2 vs De Graafschap (-1.9) |
10 | Jong AZ | 9 | 13 | 12.2 | +0.8On expectation | 3 | -0.7 | +1.6 | 2:5 vs De Graafschap (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Eindhoven FC (-1.8) |
11 | Helmond | 7 | 8 | 7.3 | +0.7On expectation | 19 | +3.5 | -2.8 | 4:2 vs Venlo (+1.8) | 3:2 vs Jong Ajax (-1.2) |
12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 12 | 11.9 | +0.1On expectation | 4 | +3.2 | -3.1 | 3:2 vs FC Volendam (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Helmond (-1.5) |
13 | Oss | 7 | 6 | 7.3 | -1.3On expectation | 20 | +2.1 | -3.4 | 3:0 vs Dordrecht (+1.5) | 3:1 vs Venlo (-1.0) |
14 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 8 | 9.6 | -1.6On expectation | 12 | -1.2 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Almere City (+2.2) | 4:6 vs FC Emmen (-1.4) |
15 | Den Bosch | 7 | 7 | 9.1 | -2.0Underperforming | 15 | +0.8 | -2.9 | 5:2 vs Eindhoven FC (+1.4) | 1:4 vs Vitesse (-1.4) |
16 | FC Volendam | 7 | 9 | 11.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 6 | +3.3 | -5.9 | 6:1 vs Dordrecht (+1.2) | 1:0 vs Maastricht (-1.6) |
17 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 7 | 10.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 11 | -2.2 | -0.8 | 2:3 vs NAC Breda (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Maastricht (-1.3) |
18 | NAC Breda | 7 | 10 | 13.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 2 | -3.9 | +0.2 | 1:2 vs De Graafschap (+1.3) | 2:3 vs Jong Utrecht (-2.3) |
19 | De Graafschap | 7 | 4 | 8.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 16 | -4.1 | -0.6 | 1:2 vs FC Emmen (+2.1) | 2:5 vs Jong AZ (-1.6) |
20 | Dordrecht | 7 | 4 | 9.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 14 | -1.7 | -3.5 | 2:1 vs Jong Ajax (+1.1) | 3:6 vs Jong AZ (-1.5) |