Eerste Divisiehub →Eerste Divisie 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Venlo | 9 | 18 | 11.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 13 | +4.9 | +1.3 | 0:2 vs NAC Breda (+2.4) | 4:2 vs Helmond (-1.5) |
2 | Maastricht | 9 | 16 | 10.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 15 | +3.4 | +1.9 | 2:3 vs Eindhoven FC (+2.0) | 4:1 vs Oss (-1.3) |
3 | Almere City | 9 | 19 | 13.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.2 | +2.9 | 1:0 vs Heracles (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Jong Ajax (-2.0) |
4 | Heracles | 9 | 22 | 18.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 1 | +3.4 | +0.6 | 3:4 vs Venlo (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Almere City (-1.6) |
5 | FC Emmen | 9 | 16 | 14.1 | +1.9On expectation | 5 | +3.7 | -1.8 | 1:0 vs Roda (+1.7) | 1:2 vs De Graafschap (-1.9) |
6 | Roda | 9 | 15 | 13.4 | +1.6On expectation | 7 | +3.9 | -2.2 | 0:1 vs Dordrecht (+1.6) | 1:0 vs FC Emmen (-1.4) |
7 | Vitesse | 9 | 14 | 13.0 | +1.0On expectation | 8 | +0.1 | +0.9 | 1:4 vs Den Bosch (+1.6) | 0:3 vs Almere City (-1.5) |
8 | Eindhoven FC | 9 | 11 | 10.0 | +1.0On expectation | 17 | +0.9 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Jong AZ (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Maastricht (-1.7) |
9 | Jong AZ | 9 | 13 | 12.2 | +0.8On expectation | 9 | -0.7 | +1.5 | 2:5 vs De Graafschap (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Eindhoven FC (-1.8) |
10 | Jong PSV | 9 | 12 | 11.9 | +0.1On expectation | 11 | +3.2 | -3.1 | 3:2 vs FC Volendam (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Helmond (-1.5) |
11 | Helmond | 9 | 9 | 9.2 | -0.2On expectation | 20 | +3.7 | -4.0 | 4:2 vs Venlo (+1.8) | 3:2 vs Jong Ajax (-1.2) |
12 | Waalwijk | 9 | 14 | 14.5 | -0.5On expectation | 3 | +0.5 | -0.9 | 4:2 vs NAC Breda (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Roda (-1.2) |
13 | Oss | 9 | 9 | 9.6 | -0.6On expectation | 18 | +3.6 | -4.2 | 4:1 vs Maastricht (+1.5) | 3:1 vs Venlo (-1.0) |
14 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 8 | 9.6 | -1.6On expectation | 19 | -1.2 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Almere City (+2.2) | 4:6 vs FC Emmen (-1.4) |
15 | FC Volendam | 9 | 12 | 14.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 4 | +4.6 | -6.9 | 3:2 vs Venlo (+1.3) | 1:0 vs Maastricht (-1.6) |
16 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 7 | 10.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 16 | -2.2 | -0.9 | 2:3 vs NAC Breda (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Maastricht (-1.3) |
17 | Dordrecht | 9 | 8 | 11.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 14 | +0.1 | -3.5 | 3:2 vs Almere City (+1.8) | 3:6 vs Jong AZ (-1.5) |
18 | NAC Breda | 9 | 14 | 17.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 2 | -3.3 | -0.5 | 1:2 vs De Graafschap (+1.3) | 2:3 vs Jong Utrecht (-2.3) |
19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 8 | 11.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 12 | -2.6 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs FC Emmen (+2.1) | 2:5 vs Jong AZ (-1.6) |
20 | Den Bosch | 9 | 8 | 12.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 10 | +0.1 | -4.1 | 5:2 vs Eindhoven FC (+1.4) | 1:4 vs Vitesse (-1.4) |