Eerste Divisiehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Maastricht | 38 | 59 | 41.1 | +17.9Outperforming ++ | 17 | +18.0 | -0.1 | 0:1 vs Zwolle (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Jong AZ (-1.7) |
2 | Heracles | 38 | 85 | 73.7 | +11.3Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.0 | +4.3 | 1:2 vs Willem II (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Venlo (-1.7) |
3 | Almere City | 38 | 70 | 61.0 | +9.0Outperforming ++ | 5 | +0.7 | +8.4 | 1:2 vs De Graafschap (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Jong PSV (-1.9) |
4 | Venlo | 38 | 58 | 50.6 | +7.4Outperforming ++ | 11 | -4.7 | +12.1 | 1:2 vs De Graafschap (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Oss (-1.9) |
5 | Zwolle | 38 | 85 | 77.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +4.3 | +2.8 | 0:3 vs Heracles (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Maastricht (-2.4) |
6 | NAC Breda | 38 | 59 | 52.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 9 | +2.5 | +4.2 | 1:3 vs Roda (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Venlo (-1.9) |
7 | Jong AZ | 38 | 51 | 46.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 14 | +3.9 | +0.9 | 1:3 vs Maastricht (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Dordrecht (-1.7) |
8 | Telstar | 38 | 53 | 49.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 12 | +0.1 | +3.3 | 0:1 vs Almere City (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Jong Ajax (-1.7) |
9 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 58 | 56.9 | +1.1On expectation | 7 | +1.9 | -0.8 | 4:2 vs Zwolle (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Helmond (-1.7) |
10 | Oss | 38 | 37 | 36.2 | +0.8On expectation | 19 | -0.5 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Venlo (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Venlo (-1.5) |
11 | Helmond | 38 | 43 | 42.7 | +0.3On expectation | 15 | +0.5 | -0.1 | 0:1 vs Roda (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Oss (-1.7) |
12 | Dordrecht | 38 | 35 | 35.2 | -0.2On expectation | 20 | +1.2 | -1.4 | 3:0 vs Zwolle (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Maastricht (-1.5) |
13 | Den Bosch | 38 | 35 | 37.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 18 | +1.9 | -4.3 | 1:2 vs Willem II (+2.4) | 2:1 vs Dordrecht (-1.4) |
14 | Jong PSV | 38 | 45 | 47.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 13 | -0.0 | -2.8 | 3:1 vs Zwolle (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Oss (-1.9) |
15 | Willem II | 38 | 68 | 70.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 3 | +2.2 | -5.1 | 0:3 vs De Graafschap (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Den Bosch (-2.2) |
16 | Den Haag | 38 | 51 | 54.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 8 | -6.9 | +3.6 | 1:2 vs Zwolle (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Den Bosch (-1.9) |
17 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 46 | 51.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 10 | -4.3 | -1.3 | 0:1 vs Venlo (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Oss (-1.9) |
18 | De Graafschap | 38 | 52 | 63.4 | -11.3Underperforming −− | 4 | -3.1 | -8.2 | 0:4 vs Eindhoven FC (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Venlo (-1.9) |
19 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 28 | 41.9 | -13.9Underperforming −− | 16 | -5.8 | -8.2 | 1:2 vs Jong Ajax (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Dordrecht (-2.0) |
20 | Roda | 38 | 43 | 58.4 | -15.4Underperforming −− | 6 | -8.0 | -7.5 | 1:3 vs Jong Utrecht (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Den Bosch (-2.2) |
