Eerste Divisie 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | G.A. Eagles | 38 | 77 | 61.9 | +15.1Outperforming ++ | 7 | +1.8 | +13.2 | 0:2 vs Cambuur (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Jong Utrecht (-2.0) |
2 | Cambuur | 38 | 92 | 82.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.1 | +7.2 | 0:2 vs Almere City (+1.5) | 2:3 vs Jong Ajax (-2.3) |
3 | NAC Breda | 38 | 73 | 65.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +5.0 | +2.5 | 0:2 vs Nijmegen (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Dordrecht (-2.3) |
4 | Almere City | 38 | 75 | 67.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.5 | +0.7 | 4:6 vs Excelsior (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Maastricht (-1.9) |
5 | Maastricht | 38 | 46 | 40.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 18 | +7.5 | -1.6 | 0:1 vs FC Volendam (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Jong Utrecht (-1.3) |
6 | Oss | 38 | 47 | 41.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 15 | +4.6 | +1.1 | 0:1 vs Nijmegen (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Helmond (-1.6) |
7 | Helmond | 38 | 45 | 40.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 17 | +5.3 | -0.7 | 0:3 vs Excelsior (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Dordrecht (-1.9) |
8 | De Graafschap | 38 | 77 | 72.8 | +4.3Outperforming | 2 | -0.6 | +4.8 | 1:4 vs FC Volendam (+1.6) | 0:3 vs Dordrecht (-2.6) |
9 | Nijmegen | 38 | 66 | 63.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 6 | +2.4 | +0.5 | 0:1 vs NAC Breda (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Oss (-2.0) |
10 | FC Volendam | 38 | 66 | 63.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 5 | -4.1 | +6.6 | 0:1 vs Cambuur (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Maastricht (-2.3) |
11 | Dordrecht | 38 | 27 | 27.8 | -0.8On expectation | 20 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 0:3 vs De Graafschap (+2.7) | 3:1 vs Maastricht (-1.3) |
12 | Roda | 38 | 57 | 57.8 | -0.8On expectation | 8 | -0.9 | +0.0 | 3:1 vs Cambuur (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Jong AZ (-2.2) |
13 | Jong PSV | 38 | 40 | 40.9 | -0.9On expectation | 16 | -5.1 | +4.2 | 1:2 vs Jong Ajax (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Dordrecht (-2.2) |
14 | Jong AZ | 38 | 38 | 42.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 14 | -0.5 | -4.0 | 0:1 vs Roda (+2.4) | 1:4 vs Jong PSV (-1.8) |
15 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 40 | 44.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 12 | -0.6 | -4.3 | 3:2 vs De Graafschap (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Telstar (-1.4) |
16 | Den Bosch | 38 | 32 | 38.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 19 | +2.2 | -8.4 | 1:2 vs Jong Ajax (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Jong PSV (-2.1) |
17 | Excelsior | 38 | 48 | 56.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 9 | -4.1 | -3.9 | 1:2 vs NAC Breda (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Helmond (-2.0) |
18 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 35 | 43.8 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 13 | -8.6 | -0.2 | 2:3 vs G.A. Eagles (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Jong AZ (-1.6) |
19 | Telstar | 38 | 41 | 49.9 | -8.9Underperforming −− | 11 | -6.2 | -2.7 | 1:2 vs Excelsior (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Dordrecht (-2.0) |
20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 40 | 53.5 | -13.6Underperforming −− | 10 | -11.0 | -2.6 | 2:3 vs Cambuur (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Dordrecht (-2.4) |
