Eerste Divisie 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | FC Volendam | 38 | 82 | 64.0 | +18.1Outperforming ++ | 4 | +8.9 | +9.2 | 1:2 vs Cambuur (+1.8) | 2:4 vs Venlo (-2.0) |
2 | Dordrecht | 38 | 68 | 56.2 | +11.8Outperforming ++ | 9 | +10.9 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs FC Emmen (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Jong Utrecht (-1.9) |
3 | Den Bosch | 38 | 55 | 48.2 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 12 | +4.8 | +2.0 | 1:2 vs Cambuur (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Oss (-1.6) |
4 | Jong AZ | 38 | 52 | 46.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 13 | -3.4 | +8.7 | 0:2 vs Cambuur (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Eindhoven FC (-1.6) |
5 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 51 | 46.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 14 | -6.7 | +11.7 | 1:2 vs FC Emmen (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Jong Utrecht (-2.2) |
6 | Cambuur | 38 | 71 | 66.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 3 | -2.6 | +7.1 | 0:1 vs Excelsior (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Jong AZ (-2.2) |
7 | Den Haag | 38 | 70 | 66.7 | +3.4Outperforming | 2 | +1.6 | +1.7 | 1:2 vs FC Volendam (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Jong AZ (-2.2) |
8 | Excelsior | 38 | 74 | 70.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 1 | +5.1 | -1.8 | 0:5 vs Den Haag (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Vitesse (-2.4) |
9 | De Graafschap | 38 | 65 | 63.2 | +1.8On expectation | 5 | +8.5 | -6.7 | 1:2 vs Den Haag (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Helmond (-2.0) |
10 | Telstar | 38 | 61 | 60.2 | +0.8On expectation | 6 | +4.1 | -3.3 | 0:1 vs FC Emmen (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Eindhoven FC (-1.7) |
11 | Oss | 38 | 38 | 37.2 | +0.8On expectation | 19 | +5.4 | -4.6 | 2:0 vs Dordrecht (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Jong PSV (-1.4) |
12 | Helmond | 38 | 46 | 48.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 11 | -1.4 | -1.5 | 2:3 vs De Graafschap (+2.2) | 3:4 vs Eindhoven FC (-1.6) |
13 | FC Emmen | 38 | 56 | 60.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 7 | -8.9 | +4.7 | 1:3 vs Cambuur (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Den Bosch (-2.1) |
14 | Venlo | 38 | 41 | 45.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 15 | -5.7 | +1.5 | 2:4 vs FC Volendam (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Jong AZ (-1.7) |
15 | Maastricht | 38 | 40 | 44.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 16 | +4.4 | -9.2 | 2:1 vs Dordrecht (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Jong AZ (-1.5) |
16 | Vitesse | 38 | 44 | 49.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 10 | -3.9 | -1.9 | 1:3 vs Excelsior (+2.6) | 1:4 vs Venlo (-1.7) |
17 | Roda | 38 | 49 | 56.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 8 | -0.4 | -7.3 | 1:3 vs FC Emmen (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Venlo (-2.0) |
18 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 36 | 43.7 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 17 | -2.5 | -5.2 | 0:3 vs Eindhoven FC (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Venlo (-1.8) |
19 | Jong PSV | 38 | 30 | 39.5 | -9.6Underperforming −− | 18 | -9.0 | -0.6 | 0:2 vs Venlo (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Eindhoven FC (-2.0) |
20 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 23 | 35.5 | -12.5Underperforming −− | 20 | -7.1 | -5.4 | 1:2 vs Eindhoven FC (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Jong AZ (-1.5) |
