Eerste Divisiehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dordrecht | 38 | 69 | 51.0 | +18.0Outperforming ++ | 9 | +10.4 | +7.6 | 2:4 vs FC Emmen (+2.3) | 1:4 vs Jong PSV (-2.2) |
2 | Maastricht | 38 | 56 | 42.5 | +13.5Outperforming ++ | 16 | +3.6 | +9.8 | 1:2 vs NAC Breda (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Dordrecht (-1.3) |
3 | Roda | 38 | 75 | 63.3 | +11.8Outperforming ++ | 4 | +9.8 | +2.0 | 2:3 vs Willem II (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Jong AZ (-1.8) |
4 | Willem II | 38 | 79 | 69.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.7 | +3.2 | 0:1 vs Roda (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Roda (-1.9) |
5 | Jong AZ | 38 | 56 | 48.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 12 | +9.2 | -2.1 | 1:2 vs Cambuur (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Maastricht (-1.7) |
6 | De Graafschap | 38 | 63 | 59.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 8 | +3.0 | +0.3 | 1:2 vs Cambuur (+1.7) | 0:2 vs Jong Ajax (-2.1) |
7 | Helmond | 38 | 51 | 49.1 | +1.9On expectation | 11 | +7.0 | -5.1 | 0:1 vs Den Haag (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Maastricht (-1.8) |
8 | Groningen | 38 | 75 | 75.2 | -0.2On expectation | 1 | -0.3 | +0.2 | 0:2 vs Den Haag (+1.4) | 0:3 vs Den Bosch (-2.4) |
9 | Den Haag | 38 | 63 | 63.3 | -0.3On expectation | 3 | -5.9 | +5.5 | 0:1 vs Groningen (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Helmond (-2.1) |
10 | Oss | 38 | 34 | 35.5 | -1.5On expectation | 20 | +2.1 | -3.6 | 1:2 vs Cambuur (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Den Bosch (-1.4) |
11 | Jong PSV | 38 | 40 | 42.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 17 | -2.7 | +0.3 | 3:4 vs Cambuur (+2.4) | 2:3 vs Maastricht (-1.8) |
12 | Venlo | 38 | 48 | 50.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 10 | +3.0 | -5.4 | 0:2 vs Eindhoven FC (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Maastricht (-2.0) |
13 | FC Emmen | 38 | 57 | 60.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 7 | -2.5 | -0.6 | 2:3 vs Telstar (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Oss (-2.1) |
14 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 40 | 44.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 15 | +1.9 | -6.2 | 0:2 vs De Graafschap (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Den Bosch (-2.0) |
15 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 43 | 48.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 13 | -8.1 | +3.0 | 3:2 vs FC Emmen (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Maastricht (-1.8) |
16 | NAC Breda | 38 | 56 | 63.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 5 | -6.3 | -0.8 | 2:3 vs Cambuur (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Maastricht (-2.2) |
17 | Den Bosch | 38 | 33 | 40.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 18 | -9.5 | +1.9 | 0:3 vs Groningen (+2.6) | 1:4 vs Telstar (-1.6) |
18 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 26 | 36.2 | -10.2Underperforming −− | 19 | -2.8 | -7.4 | 2:4 vs Cambuur (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Oss (-1.7) |
19 | Telstar | 38 | 35 | 45.4 | -10.4Underperforming −− | 14 | -0.7 | -9.8 | 3:1 vs Den Haag (+2.0) | 2:3 vs FC Emmen (-1.7) |
20 | Cambuur | 38 | 47 | 61.5 | -14.5Underperforming −− | 6 | -11.5 | -2.9 | 1:2 vs Den Haag (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Oss (-2.4) |
