Eerste Divisie 2021-2022 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Eindhoven FC	38	71	55.4	+15.6Outperforming ++	10	+8.9	+6.7	0:1 vs FC Emmen (+2.3)	1:3 vs Jong PSV (-1.9)
2	Den Haag	38	73	58.5	+14.5Outperforming ++	9	+6.6	+7.9	1:3 vs FC Volendam (+2.2)	2:3 vs Maastricht (-2.4)
3	FC Emmen	38	83	72.2	+10.8Outperforming ++	2	+4.6	+6.2	1:2 vs Roda (+1.7)	1:2 vs Helmond (-2.4)
4	Den Bosch	38	47	39.3	+7.7Outperforming ++	17	+8.2	-0.5	2:1 vs De Graafschap (+2.4)	2:3 vs Jong Ajax (-1.6)
5	Maastricht	38	40	32.4	+7.6Outperforming ++	19	-1.2	+8.8	1:3 vs De Graafschap (+2.7)	0:1 vs Den Bosch (-1.2)
6	FC Volendam	38	75	67.7	+7.3Outperforming ++	4	+4.8	+2.5	0:3 vs De Graafschap (+2.0)	1:2 vs Oss (-2.0)
7	Dordrecht	38	39	32.3	+6.7Outperforming ++	20	+4.6	+2.0	1:2 vs NAC Breda (+2.5)	0:1 vs Helmond (-1.3)
8	Excelsior	38	66	61.6	+4.4Outperforming	5	-2.6	+7.0	0:1 vs FC Emmen (+2.2)	1:4 vs Telstar (-2.2)
9	Jong Ajax	38	63	59.8	+3.2Outperforming	7	+6.0	-2.8	1:3 vs De Graafschap (+2.2)	1:2 vs Dordrecht (-2.1)
10	Venlo	38	48	48.3	-0.3On expectation	12	-2.0	+1.8	1:2 vs De Graafschap (+2.4)	1:2 vs Jong Utrecht (-1.9)
11	Jong AZ	38	42	42.5	-0.5On expectation	15	-0.9	+0.4	0:3 vs Almere City (+2.4)	0:1 vs Helmond (-1.8)
12	NAC Breda	38	59	60.0	-1.0On expectation	6	+3.4	-4.4	2:0 vs De Graafschap (+2.1)	1:2 vs Dordrecht (-2.4)
13	Roda	38	66	68.1	-2.1Underperforming	3	-2.3	+0.2	0:3 vs De Graafschap (+2.0)	1:0 vs Den Bosch (-1.9)
14	Jong Utrecht	38	38	42.4	-4.4Underperforming	16	-10.3	+5.9	0:2 vs Jong PSV (+2.2)	0:1 vs Den Bosch (-1.7)
15	Oss	38	41	46.1	-5.1Underperforming −−	13	-3.2	-1.9	1:2 vs De Graafschap (+2.4)	0:1 vs Maastricht (-1.9)
16	Helmond	38	31	36.6	-5.6Underperforming −−	18	-5.2	-0.3	0:1 vs De Graafschap (+2.6)	1:2 vs Maastricht (-1.7)
17	Jong PSV	38	44	51.1	-7.1Underperforming −−	11	-2.3	-4.8	3:5 vs Almere City (+2.2)	0:2 vs Jong Utrecht (-2.0)
18	Telstar	38	35	45.1	-10.2Underperforming −−	14	-8.9	-1.3	1:4 vs Excelsior (+2.4)	1:2 vs Den Bosch (-1.7)
19	De Graafschap	38	56	72.4	-16.4Underperforming −−	1	-20.0	+3.6	1:2 vs Eindhoven FC (+1.7)	1:3 vs Maastricht (-2.5)
20	Almere City	38	41	59.8	-18.8Underperforming −−	8	-14.4	-4.3	1:3 vs Jong Ajax (+1.8)	0:3 vs Jong AZ (-2.3)