Eerste Divisiehub →Eerste Divisie 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jong PSV | 38 | 56 | 44.8 | +11.2Outperforming ++ | 16 | +4.4 | +6.8 | 1:2 vs Den Haag (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Jong Ajax (-1.9) |
2 | Cambuur | 38 | 78 | 68.2 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.7 | +3.2 | 1:2 vs Den Haag (+2.1) | 3:4 vs Jong AZ (-2.1) |
3 | Den Haag | 38 | 89 | 79.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.4 | +5.7 | 1:2 vs De Graafschap (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Jong PSV (-2.5) |
4 | Willem II | 38 | 68 | 59.6 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +0.7 | +7.6 | 0:1 vs Almere City (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Eindhoven FC (-1.9) |
5 | Vitesse | 38 | 56 | 49.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 12 | -1.3 | +8.3 | 3:1 vs Helmond (+2.3) | 2:0 vs Jong Ajax (-1.7) |
6 | Oss | 38 | 44 | 40.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 18 | -2.0 | +5.5 | 1:2 vs Roda (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Jong AZ (-1.5) |
7 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 46 | 43.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 17 | +4.2 | -1.3 | 0:1 vs Venlo (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Oss (-1.4) |
8 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 47 | 45.1 | +1.9On expectation | 15 | +3.6 | -1.8 | 0:1 vs Willem II (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Oss (-1.7) |
9 | Maastricht | 38 | 38 | 36.3 | +1.7On expectation | 20 | +0.9 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs De Graafschap (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Oss (-1.4) |
10 | De Graafschap | 38 | 63 | 62.0 | +1.0On expectation | 3 | -1.8 | +2.8 | 1:4 vs Waalwijk (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Maastricht (-2.2) |
11 | Den Bosch | 38 | 51 | 51.6 | -0.6On expectation | 9 | +1.3 | -1.9 | 2:3 vs Waalwijk (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Maastricht (-2.1) |
12 | Waalwijk | 38 | 58 | 60.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 5 | -2.4 | +0.2 | 1:4 vs Roda (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Venlo (-1.9) |
13 | Roda | 38 | 55 | 58.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 7 | -14.7 | +11.7 | 1:2 vs Almere City (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Oss (-2.1) |
14 | Venlo | 38 | 45 | 48.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 13 | -1.7 | -2.0 | 1:2 vs Waalwijk (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Jong Utrecht (-1.9) |
15 | Almere City | 38 | 58 | 62.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 4 | -1.9 | -2.1 | 1:0 vs Den Haag (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Helmond (-2.2) |
16 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 35 | 39.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 19 | -3.0 | -1.1 | 0:1 vs Dordrecht (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Eindhoven FC (-1.7) |
17 | FC Emmen | 38 | 45 | 50.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 11 | -1.1 | -4.5 | 2:3 vs De Graafschap (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Jong PSV (-2.0) |
18 | Dordrecht | 38 | 47 | 54.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 8 | -8.1 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Roda (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Jong Ajax (-2.2) |
19 | Helmond | 38 | 39 | 48.4 | -9.4Underperforming −− | 14 | +1.0 | -10.4 | 0:1 vs Almere City (+2.4) | 2:4 vs Maastricht (-2.1) |
20 | Jong AZ | 38 | 40 | 50.6 | -10.6Underperforming −− | 10 | -15.8 | +5.2 | 1:4 vs Den Haag (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Eindhoven FC (-1.9) |