Eerste Divisiehub →Eerste Divisie 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jong PSV | 38 | 56 | 44.8 | +11.2Outperforming ++ | 16 | +4.4 | +6.8 | 1:2 vs Den Haag (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Jong Ajax (-1.9) |
2 | Willem II | 43 | 78 | 67.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 4 | +0.1 | +11.3 | 0:1 vs Almere City (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Eindhoven FC (-1.9) |
3 | Cambuur | 38 | 78 | 68.2 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.7 | +3.2 | 1:2 vs Den Haag (+2.1) | 3:4 vs Jong AZ (-2.1) |
4 | Den Haag | 38 | 89 | 79.9 | +9.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.4 | +5.7 | 1:2 vs De Graafschap (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Jong PSV (-2.5) |
5 | Vitesse | 38 | 56 | 49.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 12 | -1.3 | +8.3 | 3:1 vs Helmond (+2.3) | 2:0 vs Jong Ajax (-1.7) |
6 | Oss | 38 | 44 | 40.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 18 | -2.0 | +5.5 | 1:2 vs Roda (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Jong AZ (-1.5) |
7 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 46 | 43.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 17 | +4.2 | -1.3 | 0:1 vs Venlo (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Oss (-1.4) |
8 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 47 | 45.1 | +1.9On expectation | 15 | +3.6 | -1.8 | 0:1 vs Willem II (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Oss (-1.7) |
9 | Maastricht | 38 | 38 | 36.3 | +1.7On expectation | 20 | +0.9 | +0.8 | 0:1 vs De Graafschap (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Oss (-1.4) |
10 | FC Volendam | 1 | 3 | 2.8 | +0.2On expectation | 21 | 0.0 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Willem II (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Willem II (1.8) |
11 | De Graafschap | 40 | 64 | 64.7 | -0.7On expectation | 6 | -2.4 | +1.7 | 1:4 vs Waalwijk (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Maastricht (-2.2) |
12 | Den Bosch | 40 | 51 | 53.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 9 | +0.0 | -2.8 | 2:3 vs Waalwijk (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Maastricht (-2.1) |
13 | Almere City | 44 | 68 | 71.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 2 | -1.1 | -2.1 | 1:0 vs Den Haag (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Helmond (-2.2) |
14 | Venlo | 38 | 45 | 48.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 13 | -1.7 | -2.0 | 1:2 vs Waalwijk (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Jong Utrecht (-1.9) |
15 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 35 | 39.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 19 | -3.0 | -1.1 | 0:1 vs Dordrecht (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Eindhoven FC (-1.7) |
16 | Roda | 39 | 56 | 60.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 7 | -15.2 | +11.7 | 1:2 vs Almere City (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Oss (-2.1) |
17 | FC Emmen | 38 | 45 | 50.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 11 | -1.1 | -4.5 | 2:3 vs De Graafschap (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Jong PSV (-2.0) |
18 | Waalwijk | 41 | 60 | 65.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 5 | -3.9 | -0.1 | 1:4 vs Roda (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Venlo (-1.9) |
19 | Dordrecht | 38 | 47 | 54.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 8 | -8.1 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Roda (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Jong Ajax (-2.2) |
20 | Helmond | 38 | 39 | 48.4 | -9.4Underperforming −− | 14 | +1.0 | -10.4 | 0:1 vs Almere City (+2.4) | 2:4 vs Maastricht (-2.1) |
21 | Jong AZ | 38 | 40 | 50.6 | -10.6Underperforming −− | 10 | -15.8 | +5.2 | 1:4 vs Den Haag (+2.6) | 0:2 vs Eindhoven FC (-1.9) |