Premier Divisionhub →Premier Division 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 35 | 68 | 61.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +10.2 | -3.5 | 1:2 vs Bohemians (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Sligo Rovers (-2.4) |
2 | Waterford | 35 | 40 | 35.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 9 | +5.1 | -0.8 | 0:2 vs St. Patricks (+2.4) | 2:0 vs Sligo Rovers (-1.0) |
3 | Galway | 35 | 42 | 40.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 7 | +1.1 | +0.9 | 2:0 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Drogheda (-1.5) |
4 | Bohemians | 35 | 62 | 61.2 | +0.8On expectation | 3 | -4.5 | +5.3 | 0:1 vs Derry City (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Sligo Rovers (-2.3) |
5 | Drogheda | 35 | 37 | 37.9 | -0.9On expectation | 8 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 3:4 vs Shelbourne (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Galway (-1.6) |
6 | St. Patricks | 35 | 60 | 63.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 1 | -0.5 | -3.1 | 2:3 vs Shelbourne (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Waterford (-2.2) |
7 | Shelbourne | 35 | 49 | 52.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 4 | -12.3 | +8.5 | 1:2 vs St. Patricks (+2.2) | 3:4 vs Drogheda (-2.0) |
8 | Dundalk | 35 | 42 | 46.9 | -4.8Underperforming | 6 | -5.0 | +0.2 | 2:3 vs Shelbourne (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Waterford (-2.0) |
9 | Sligo Rovers | 35 | 24 | 28.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 10 | -1.9 | -3.0 | 1:2 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.5) | 1:4 vs Galway (-1.3) |
10 | Derry City | 35 | 47 | 51.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 5 | +2.3 | -7.2 | 1:2 vs Shelbourne (+2.0) | 2:4 vs Waterford (-2.1) |