Premier Divisionhub →Premier Division 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 29 | 56 | 49.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.7 | -0.5 | 1:2 vs Bohemians (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Sligo Rovers (-2.3) |
2 | Waterford | 29 | 32 | 27.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 9 | +3.7 | +0.8 | 0:2 vs St. Patricks (+2.4) | 2:0 vs Sligo Rovers (-1.0) |
3 | Galway | 28 | 34 | 32.8 | +1.2On expectation | 7 | +0.1 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Dundalk (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Drogheda (-1.5) |
4 | Dundalk | 29 | 40 | 39.5 | +0.5On expectation | 6 | -1.8 | +2.3 | 2:3 vs Shelbourne (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Waterford (-2.0) |
5 | Bohemians | 29 | 50 | 50.2 | -0.2On expectation | 2 | -4.3 | +4.2 | 0:1 vs Derry City (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Sligo Rovers (-2.3) |
6 | Sligo Rovers | 29 | 23 | 24.8 | -1.8On expectation | 10 | -0.4 | -1.4 | 1:2 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.5) | 1:4 vs Galway (-1.3) |
7 | St. Patricks | 29 | 50 | 52.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 1 | +0.1 | -2.4 | 2:3 vs Shelbourne (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Waterford (-2.2) |
8 | Drogheda | 29 | 28 | 31.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 8 | -3.3 | -0.5 | 3:4 vs Shelbourne (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Galway (-1.5) |
9 | Shelbourne | 28 | 36 | 42.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 5 | -9.6 | +2.9 | 0:1 vs St. Patricks (+2.1) | 3:4 vs Drogheda (-2.0) |
10 | Derry City | 29 | 34 | 43.1 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 4 | -1.9 | -7.2 | 1:2 vs Shelbourne (+2.0) | 2:4 vs Waterford (-2.1) |