Premier Divisionhub →Premier Divisionhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 50 | 43.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.3 | +0.6 | 1:2 vs Bohemians (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Sligo Rovers (-2.4) |
2 | Dundalk | 25 | 36 | 33.3 | +2.8Outperforming | 6 | +1.0 | +1.7 | 2:3 vs Shelbourne (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Waterford (-2.0) |
3 | Bohemians | 25 | 43 | 42.3 | +0.8On expectation | 3 | -5.2 | +5.9 | 0:1 vs Derry City (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Sligo Rovers (-2.3) |
4 | Galway | 24 | 28 | 28.0 | -0.0On expectation | 7 | +1.0 | -1.0 | 2:1 vs Derry City (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Drogheda (-1.5) |
5 | Sligo Rovers | 25 | 21 | 21.9 | -0.9On expectation | 10 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 1:2 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.5) | 1:4 vs Galway (-1.3) |
6 | Waterford | 25 | 22 | 23.1 | -1.1On expectation | 9 | -0.0 | -1.0 | 2:4 vs Derry City (+2.3) | 2:0 vs Sligo Rovers (-1.1) |
7 | St. Patricks | 25 | 43 | 44.3 | -1.3On expectation | 1 | +3.3 | -4.7 | 2:3 vs Shelbourne (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Shelbourne (-1.8) |
8 | Drogheda | 25 | 26 | 27.6 | -1.6On expectation | 8 | -1.3 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Dundalk (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Galway (-1.5) |
9 | Shelbourne | 24 | 34 | 38.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 4 | -8.5 | +4.6 | 0:1 vs St. Patricks (+2.1) | 3:4 vs Drogheda (-1.9) |
10 | Derry City | 25 | 29 | 37.9 | -8.9Underperforming −− | 5 | -2.4 | -6.5 | 1:2 vs Shelbourne (+2.0) | 2:4 vs Waterford (-2.1) |