Premier Divisionhub →Premier Divisionhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 49 | 38.1 | +10.9Outperforming ++ | 8 | +8.8 | +2.2 | 1:2 vs Shelbourne (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Waterford (-1.6) |
2 | Shelbourne | 36 | 63 | 52.9 | +10.1Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.0 | +6.1 | 0:2 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Sligo Rovers (-2.1) |
3 | St. Patricks | 36 | 59 | 51.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 5 | +7.1 | +0.2 | 0:3 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Dundalk (-1.8) |
4 | Waterford | 36 | 45 | 39.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 7 | +2.2 | +2.9 | 1:3 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Sligo Rovers (-1.4) |
5 | Galway | 36 | 52 | 52.7 | -0.7On expectation | 4 | -2.0 | +1.3 | 0:1 vs Derry City (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Bohemians (-1.9) |
6 | Drogheda | 36 | 34 | 36.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 10 | +4.7 | -7.5 | 0:1 vs Bohemians (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Waterford (-1.4) |
7 | Bohemians | 36 | 42 | 47.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 6 | -8.5 | +3.2 | 0:2 vs Galway (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Sligo Rovers (-1.8) |
8 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 61 | 69.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 1 | -4.6 | -3.7 | 1:3 vs Derry City (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Waterford (-2.2) |
9 | Derry City | 36 | 55 | 64.6 | -9.6Underperforming −− | 2 | -2.9 | -6.7 | 0:1 vs St. Patricks (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Sligo Rovers (-2.0) |
10 | Dundalk | 36 | 26 | 38.0 | -12.0Underperforming −− | 9 | -5.1 | -6.9 | 1:0 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.3) | 0:5 vs Sligo Rovers (-1.6) |