Premier Divisionhub →Premier Divisionhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dundalk | 36 | 58 | 48.8 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +7.5 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Sligo Rovers (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Sligo Rovers (-1.5) |
2 | Shelbourne | 36 | 60 | 51.0 | +9.0Outperforming ++ | 5 | +5.8 | +3.2 | 0:3 vs Sligo Rovers (+1.9) | 0:1 vs St. Patricks (-1.4) |
3 | St. Patricks | 36 | 62 | 55.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 4 | +2.2 | +4.2 | 0:2 vs Bohemians (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Drogheda (-2.1) |
4 | Bohemians | 36 | 58 | 56.9 | +1.1On expectation | 3 | +2.8 | -1.7 | 0:1 vs Derry City (+2.2) | 0:2 vs St. Patricks (-1.8) |
5 | Drogheda | 36 | 41 | 40.0 | +1.0On expectation | 9 | -1.8 | +2.8 | 1:2 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Cork City (-1.6) |
6 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 72 | 71.5 | +0.5On expectation | 1 | +3.6 | -3.1 | 0:2 vs Derry City (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Drogheda (-2.4) |
7 | Derry City | 36 | 65 | 68.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 2 | -4.0 | +0.9 | 1:2 vs Shamrock Rovers (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Drogheda (-2.3) |
8 | UC Dublin | 36 | 11 | 16.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 10 | -0.6 | -4.7 | 2:1 vs Sligo Rovers (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Drogheda (-0.9) |
9 | Cork City | 36 | 31 | 40.2 | -9.2Underperforming −− | 8 | -1.3 | -7.9 | 1:0 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.3) | 1:0 vs UC Dublin (-1.9) |
10 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 37 | 47.0 | -10.0Underperforming −− | 7 | -1.4 | -8.6 | 1:0 vs Derry City (+2.2) | 2:1 vs UC Dublin (-2.2) |