Premier Divisionhub →Premier Divisionhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Waterford | 36 | 42 | 33.2 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 9 | +2.2 | +6.6 | 1:3 vs Dundalk (+2.6) | 0:7 vs Drogheda (-1.3) |
2 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 57 | 49.1 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 5 | +0.1 | +4.7 | 0:1 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.3) | 1:0 vs Waterford (-1.9) |
3 | Derry City | 36 | 54 | 47.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 6 | -0.3 | +7.3 | 0:1 vs Sligo Rovers (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Waterford (-1.9) |
4 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 78 | 71.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.1 | +3.4 | 0:1 vs Sligo Rovers (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Sligo Rovers (-2.0) |
5 | St. Patricks | 36 | 62 | 59.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 4 | +5.8 | -3.0 | 1:4 vs Dundalk (+1.7) | 3:1 vs Drogheda (-1.7) |
6 | Drogheda | 36 | 44 | 41.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 8 | +2.1 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Dundalk (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Waterford (-1.8) |
7 | Finn Harps | 36 | 44 | 41.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 7 | -2.4 | +5.0 | 1:2 vs Dundalk (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Waterford (-2.0) |
8 | Bohemians | 36 | 52 | 60.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 3 | -0.9 | -7.1 | 0:1 vs Dundalk (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Waterford (-2.2) |
9 | Longford | 36 | 15 | 26.8 | -11.8Underperforming −− | 10 | -4.9 | -6.9 | 1:0 vs Dundalk (+2.5) | 1:0 vs Waterford (-1.5) |
10 | Dundalk | 36 | 48 | 60.6 | -12.6Underperforming −− | 2 | -3.7 | -8.8 | 1:0 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Waterford (-2.5) |