Premier Divisionhub →Premier Divisionhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Drogheda | 36 | 51 | 41.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 7 | +6.0 | +3.2 | 0:1 vs Bohemians (+2.3) | 2:0 vs Waterford (-1.3) |
2 | Shelbourne | 36 | 59 | 54.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 5 | +0.1 | +4.7 | 0:1 vs Shamrock Rovers (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Waterford (-2.1) |
3 | Derry City | 36 | 63 | 58.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 3 | +0.4 | +4.1 | 3:4 vs Bohemians (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Waterford (-2.1) |
4 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 41 | 36.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 9 | -0.0 | +4.3 | 0:1 vs Galway (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Waterford (-1.4) |
5 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 66 | 64.1 | +1.9On expectation | 1 | +4.5 | -2.6 | 1:2 vs Derry City (+1.7) | 2:3 vs Bohemians (-1.9) |
6 | Waterford | 36 | 39 | 37.4 | +1.6On expectation | 8 | -1.1 | +2.7 | 0:1 vs Shelbourne (+2.4) | 0:4 vs Sligo Rovers (-1.7) |
7 | Bohemians | 36 | 54 | 56.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 4 | +0.2 | -2.8 | 2:3 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Drogheda (-2.1) |
8 | St. Patricks | 36 | 52 | 59.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 2 | -1.5 | -6.5 | 1:0 vs Shamrock Rovers (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Sligo Rovers (-1.9) |
9 | Cork City | 36 | 24 | 32.8 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 10 | +0.5 | -9.3 | 1:0 vs Galway (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Sligo Rovers (-1.4) |
10 | Galway | 36 | 39 | 49.1 | -10.2Underperforming −− | 6 | -2.6 | -7.5 | 0:2 vs Bohemians (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Sligo Rovers (-2.0) |