Premier Divisionhub →Premier Divisionhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dundalk | 35 | 63 | 55.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 4 | +10.0 | -2.0 | 0:1 vs Derry City (+2.5) | 1:0 vs Drogheda (-2.1) |
2 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 79 | 72.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 1 | +12.2 | -5.8 | 1:0 vs Derry City (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Drogheda (-2.4) |
3 | Drogheda | 36 | 38 | 32.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 9 | +8.8 | -3.5 | 1:0 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.6) | 2:1 vs UC Dublin (-1.5) |
4 | St. Patricks | 36 | 61 | 57.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 3 | +2.1 | +1.6 | 1:0 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Sligo Rovers (-1.8) |
5 | Sligo Rovers | 35 | 49 | 46.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 6 | +4.3 | -1.5 | 2:1 vs Derry City (+2.1) | 0:2 vs UC Dublin (-2.2) |
6 | UC Dublin | 36 | 26 | 24.9 | +1.1On expectation | 10 | -0.3 | +1.3 | 0:2 vs Sligo Rovers (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Drogheda (-1.3) |
7 | Derry City | 36 | 66 | 66.7 | -0.7On expectation | 2 | -5.8 | +5.1 | 2:1 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Dundalk (-2.3) |
8 | Shelbourne | 36 | 41 | 44.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 7 | -3.8 | +0.5 | 1:2 vs Derry City (+2.3) | 3:1 vs Drogheda (-1.6) |
9 | Bohemians | 36 | 46 | 52.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 5 | -2.9 | -3.8 | 1:0 vs Shamrock Rovers (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Drogheda (-1.9) |
10 | Finn Harps | 36 | 20 | 38.7 | -18.7Underperforming −− | 8 | -9.3 | -9.4 | 0:3 vs Shelbourne (+1.9) | 0:1 vs UC Dublin (-1.9) |