Premier Division

We simulate the remaining Premier Division schedule 10,000 times a day. Shamrock Rovers win the 2026 title in 89% of them, projecting ~69 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Sligo Rovers finish in the bottom three in >99% of simulations.

#	Team	Pts now	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3
1	Shamrock Rovers	56	69	64–73	89%	>99%	—
2	St. Patricks	50	61	57–65	6%	>99%	—
3	Bohemians	50	60	56–65	5%	>99%	—
4	Dundalk	40	49	44–53	—	46%	1%
5	Shelbourne	36	48	43–52	—	35%	3%
· · ·
8	Waterford	32	40	36–45	—	<1%	67%
9	Drogheda	28	36	32–40	—	—	96%
10	Sligo Rovers	23	30	26–34	—	—	>99%

Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 36 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.

<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/ireland/premier-division/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Premier Division live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/ireland/premier-division">Premier Division stats by Football Charts</a></p>

What blindly backing each market in every Premier Division match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.