Premier Divisionhub →Premier Divisionhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 18 | 48 | 38.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.7 | +6.2 | 3:2 vs Dundalk (+1.5) | 0:0 vs Shelbourne (-1.4) |
2 | Bohemians | 18 | 37 | 28.2 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +2.2 | +6.6 | 1:2 vs St. Patricks (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Finn Harps (-2.1) |
3 | Sligo Rovers | 18 | 25 | 20.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 6 | +7.2 | -2.3 | 0:2 vs Dundalk (+2.2) | 3:0 vs Cork City (-1.6) |
4 | Waterford | 18 | 24 | 19.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 8 | +2.3 | +2.2 | 0:2 vs Bohemians (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Finn Harps (-1.7) |
5 | Finn Harps | 18 | 20 | 17.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 9 | +0.9 | +1.7 | 0:2 vs Bohemians (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Shelbourne (-1.4) |
6 | Shelbourne | 18 | 19 | 20.0 | -1.0On expectation | 7 | -2.0 | +1.1 | 0:1 vs Cork City (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Waterford (-1.7) |
7 | Cork City | 18 | 11 | 15.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 10 | -0.7 | -3.6 | 3:0 vs Sligo Rovers (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Shelbourne (-1.6) |
8 | Derry City | 18 | 20 | 26.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 5 | -0.4 | -5.7 | 0:2 vs St. Patricks (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Sligo Rovers (-2.0) |
9 | St. Patricks | 18 | 21 | 27.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 4 | -3.0 | -3.8 | 0:2 vs Sligo Rovers (+1.4) | 3:2 vs Finn Harps (-1.8) |
10 | Dundalk | 18 | 26 | 34.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 2 | -4.3 | -3.8 | 1:2 vs Derry City (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Waterford (-2.1) |