Super League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | OFI Crete | 5 | 10 | 5.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 6 | +2.5 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Olympiacos Piraeus (+2.6) | 2:1 vs Aris (-0.9) |
2 | Panetolikos | 5 | 9 | 5.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 11 | +2.5 | +1.5 | 0:2 vs Levadiakos (+2.0) | 1:3 vs PAOK (-0.7) |
3 | Panathinaikos | 5 | 15 | 11.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 3 | +2.5 | +1.5 | 3:1 vs PAOK (+1.3) | 0:1 vs Kalamata (0.6) |
4 | PAOK | 5 | 12 | 9.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 4 | +1.8 | +0.8 | 2:0 vs Aris (+1.0) | 3:1 vs Panathinaikos (-1.0) |
5 | Iraklis 1908 | 5 | 6 | 4.6 | +1.4On expectation | 14 | -0.3 | +1.7 | 0:2 vs Asteras Tripolis (+2.0) | 4:0 vs AEK Athens (-0.4) |
6 | Aris | 5 | 7 | 6.6 | +0.4On expectation | 5 | +0.2 | +0.1 | 2:3 vs Kalamata (+1.4) | 0:0 vs Iraklis 1908 (-0.9) |
7 | Kifisia | 5 | 5 | 4.7 | +0.3On expectation | 12 | +0.0 | +0.3 | 1:2 vs Atromitos (+1.8) | 2:0 vs OFI Crete (-1.1) |
8 | AEK Athens | 5 | 11 | 11.8 | -0.8On expectation | 1 | +1.2 | -2.0 | 5:0 vs Aris (+0.7) | 1:1 vs Kifisia (-1.3) |
9 | Kalamata | 5 | 4 | 5.1 | -1.1On expectation | 9 | +0.1 | -1.1 | 3:1 vs Volos (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Panetolikos (-1.2) |
10 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 5 | 10 | 11.6 | -1.6On expectation | 2 | -1.9 | +0.3 | 0:1 vs Asteras Tripolis (+0.9) | 0:1 vs OFI Crete (-2.4) |
11 | Volos | 5 | 2 | 5.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 10 | -0.5 | -2.6 | 1:1 vs Olympiacos Piraeus (+0.5) | 2:0 vs OFI Crete (-1.3) |
12 | Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 2 | 5.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 8 | -1.9 | -1.6 | 1:1 vs AEK Athens (+0.5) | 0:2 vs Iraklis 1908 (-1.7) |
13 | Levadiakos | 5 | 1 | 4.7 | -3.6Underperforming | 13 | -2.9 | -0.8 | 0:0 vs Kifisia (+-0.2) | 0:2 vs Panetolikos (-1.7) |
14 | Atromitos | 5 | 2 | 5.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 7 | -3.0 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Olympiacos Piraeus (+-0.4) | 1:2 vs Kifisia (-1.5) |
