Super Leaguehub →Super League 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Super League splits into championship and relegation groups after round 26; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | PAOK | 26 | 60 | 52.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 4 | +3.7 | +4.3 | 2:4 vs Olympiacos Piraeus (+2.3) | 1:0 vs OFI Crete (-1.9) |
2 | Lamia | 26 | 34 | 27.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 9 | +4.2 | +2.8 | 1:0 vs Olympiacos Piraeus (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Panserraikos (-1.6) |
3 | Panathinaikos | 26 | 56 | 52.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 3 | +1.4 | +2.4 | 0:3 vs Olympiacos Piraeus (+2.0) | 3:2 vs Atromitos (-2.2) |
4 | Aris | 26 | 42 | 39.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 5 | +4.5 | -1.7 | 2:1 vs PAOK (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Atromitos (-2.1) |
5 | AEK Athens FC | 26 | 59 | 57.2 | +1.8On expectation | 1 | +2.4 | -0.5 | 1:2 vs Panathinaikos (+1.8) | 2:0 vs OFI Crete (-2.0) |
6 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 26 | 57 | 55.5 | +1.5On expectation | 2 | -0.2 | +1.8 | 1:4 vs PAOK (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Lamia (-2.4) |
7 | Asteras Tripolis | 26 | 31 | 29.7 | +1.3On expectation | 7 | +0.4 | +0.9 | 0:2 vs OFI Crete (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Lamia (-1.8) |
8 | Panserraikos | 26 | 27 | 26.5 | +0.5On expectation | 10 | +2.2 | -1.7 | 0:2 vs Lamia (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Volos (-1.2) |
9 | Atromitos | 26 | 28 | 28.3 | -0.3On expectation | 8 | +1.1 | -1.4 | 3:2 vs Panathinaikos (+2.4) | 2:1 vs Kifisia (-1.3) |
10 | Kifisia | 26 | 21 | 25.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 14 | -0.7 | -3.7 | 1:2 vs OFI Crete (+2.0) | 3:0 vs Giannina (-1.3) |
11 | Panetolikos | 26 | 20 | 25.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 12 | -0.5 | -5.0 | 1:0 vs Atromitos (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Lamia (-1.5) |
12 | Volos | 26 | 19 | 25.4 | -6.4Underperforming −− | 13 | -2.8 | -3.5 | 1:2 vs Lamia (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Giannina (-1.7) |
13 | OFI Crete | 26 | 25 | 31.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 6 | +1.3 | -8.1 | 2:0 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Asteras Tripolis (-1.8) |
14 | Giannina | 26 | 18 | 26.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 11 | -4.8 | -3.3 | 1:2 vs Volos (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Panserraikos (-1.5) |