Super League 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Super League splits into championship and relegation groups after round 26; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Aris | 26 | 51 | 40.2 | +10.8Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.5 | +7.3 | 0:1 vs Panathinaikos (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Lamia (-1.9) |
2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 26 | 67 | 57.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +6.8 | +2.5 | 3:0 vs PAOK (+1.3) | 2:1 vs Panathinaikos (-1.9) |
3 | Asteras Tripolis | 26 | 42 | 33.6 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +5.3 | +3.1 | 2:1 vs PAOK (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Giannina (-1.5) |
4 | Volos | 26 | 33 | 26.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 11 | +0.1 | +6.2 | 0:2 vs Atromitos (+2.2) | 1:4 vs OFI Crete (-1.3) |
5 | Panathinaikos | 26 | 45 | 40.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 4 | +2.5 | +1.8 | 2:1 vs Olympiacos Piraeus (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Atromitos (-1.9) |
6 | Apollon Smyrnis | 26 | 28 | 27.3 | +0.7On expectation | 10 | -2.6 | +3.3 | 1:3 vs Giannina (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Lamia (-1.4) |
7 | AEK Athens FC | 26 | 48 | 48.0 | -0.0On expectation | 3 | -3.9 | +3.8 | 0:1 vs Aris (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Giannina (-2.2) |
8 | Giannina | 26 | 31 | 31.4 | -0.3On expectation | 7 | -5.1 | +4.8 | 0:2 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.4) | 1:2 vs AEL Larissa (-1.9) |
9 | Lamia | 26 | 23 | 25.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 12 | -1.9 | -1.0 | 2:0 vs Aris (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Volos (-1.5) |
10 | Atromitos | 26 | 28 | 31.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 8 | -0.8 | -2.1 | 3:2 vs PAOK (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Volos (-1.9) |
11 | Panetolikos | 26 | 20 | 24.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 14 | +0.4 | -4.9 | 1:0 vs Panathinaikos (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Apollon Smyrnis (-1.2) |
12 | PAOK | 26 | 47 | 53.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 2 | +0.4 | -7.1 | 2:1 vs Panathinaikos (+1.1) | 3:2 vs Atromitos (-2.1) |
13 | AEL Larissa | 26 | 16 | 25.7 | -9.7Underperforming −− | 13 | -7.1 | -2.6 | 1:2 vs Giannina (+2.2) | 0:1 vs OFI Crete (-1.5) |
14 | OFI Crete | 26 | 19 | 30.5 | -11.5Underperforming −− | 9 | -9.0 | -2.5 | 0:1 vs AEL Larissa (+1.8) | 2:3 vs AEL Larissa (-1.9) |
