Super League 2021-2022 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Olympiacos Piraeus	26	65	55.0	+10.0Outperforming ++	1	+5.0	+5.0	2:3 vs AEK Athens FC (+1.5)	0:0 vs Atromitos (-1.5)
2	Giannina	26	40	31.5	+8.5Outperforming ++	7	+4.9	+3.6	0:1 vs PAOK (+2.7)	0:4 vs PAOK (-1.2)
3	OFI Crete	26	37	30.4	+6.6Outperforming ++	8	+2.0	+4.6	1:2 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.5)	2:4 vs Panetolikos (-1.8)
4	Panetolikos	26	32	27.5	+4.5Outperforming	11	-1.7	+6.2	1:2 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.5)	1:2 vs OFI Crete (-1.6)
5	PAOK	26	53	48.8	+4.2Outperforming	2	-0.1	+4.3	1:3 vs Panathinaikos (+1.7)	0:1 vs Giannina (-2.5)
6	Aris	26	45	42.9	+2.1Outperforming	5	+0.3	+1.8	0:1 vs PAOK (+2.2)	0:2 vs Volos (-2.1)
7	Volos	26	30	28.8	+1.3On expectation	10	-0.5	+1.8	1:2 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.5)	1:2 vs Panetolikos (-1.9)
8	Ionikos	26	26	25.3	+0.7On expectation	13	+0.8	-0.1	2:3 vs Asteras Tripolis (+2.3)	1:2 vs Panetolikos (-1.6)
9	Asteras Tripolis	26	35	35.9	-0.9On expectation	6	+0.7	-1.6	0:1 vs Panathinaikos (+2.2)	2:3 vs Ionikos (-2.0)
10	Panathinaikos	26	42	43.0	-1.0On expectation	4	+4.6	-5.6	3:0 vs AEK Athens FC (+1.5)	0:1 vs Asteras Tripolis (-2.0)
11	AEK Athens FC	26	46	48.4	-2.4Underperforming	3	-2.2	-0.2	1:2 vs Giannina (+1.4)	1:2 vs Volos (-2.3)
12	Atromitos	26	23	29.4	-6.5Underperforming −−	9	-0.7	-5.8	2:0 vs PAOK (+2.2)	0:2 vs Ionikos (-1.9)
13	Lamia	26	18	27.2	-9.2Underperforming −−	12	-7.0	-2.3	0:1 vs Asteras Tripolis (+2.1)	1:2 vs Apollon Smyrnis (-1.7)
14	Apollon Smyrnis	26	13	23.0	-10.0Underperforming −−	14	-5.0	-5.0	1:2 vs Lamia (+2.0)	1:3 vs Volos (-1.5)