Super League 2022-2023 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Panathinaikos	26	61	49.7	+11.3Outperforming ++	3	+4.1	+7.2	1:2 vs PAOK (+1.9)	1:0 vs Asteras Tripolis (-1.8)
2	Volos	26	39	29.1	+9.9Outperforming ++	8	-0.2	+10.1	0:1 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.6)	2:3 vs Panetolikos (-1.9)
3	PAOK	26	54	49.1	+4.9Outperforming	4	+3.2	+1.8	1:2 vs Olympiacos Piraeus (+2.1)	1:2 vs Panathinaikos (-1.5)
4	AEK Athens FC	26	59	55.3	+3.7Outperforming	1	+2.8	+0.9	0:2 vs Aris (+1.6)	0:1 vs Volos (-2.4)
5	Panetolikos	26	29	26.6	+2.4Outperforming	11	-3.1	+5.5	2:3 vs Volos (+2.1)	2:3 vs Volos (-1.5)
6	Olympiacos Piraeus	26	56	53.7	+2.3Outperforming	2	+1.0	+1.3	1:3 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.1)	1:2 vs PAOK (-1.9)
7	Atromitos	26	29	28.9	+0.1On expectation	9	+3.2	-3.1	0:1 vs OFI Crete (+1.9)	0:2 vs Volos (-1.5)
8	OFI Crete	26	26	29.6	-3.6Underperforming	7	-7.7	+4.2	0:1 vs Volos (+2.0)	0:2 vs Ionikos (-1.8)
9	Aris	26	40	43.8	-3.8Underperforming	5	+3.9	-7.7	2:1 vs Olympiacos Piraeus (+2.0)	1:0 vs Ionikos (-1.9)
10	Giannina	26	23	27.1	-4.0Underperforming	10	-1.4	-2.6	2:1 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.5)	0:1 vs Volos (-1.7)
11	Asteras Tripolis	26	25	31.2	-6.2Underperforming −−	6	+1.6	-7.9	1:0 vs Panathinaikos (+2.1)	1:0 vs Ionikos (-1.3)
12	Levadiakos	26	17	23.4	-6.3Underperforming −−	14	-0.4	-6.0	2:0 vs OFI Crete (+1.7)	0:3 vs Volos (-1.5)
13	Ionikos	26	18	25.5	-7.5Underperforming −−	13	-4.3	-3.2	1:0 vs Aris (+2.2)	1:4 vs Atromitos (-1.6)
14	Lamia	26	17	26.1	-9.1Underperforming −−	12	-5.4	-3.7	2:1 vs Aris (+2.2)	0:2 vs Ionikos (-1.6)