Super League 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Super League splits into championship and relegation groups after round 26; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Panathinaikos | 26 | 61 | 49.7 | +11.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.1 | +7.2 | 1:2 vs PAOK (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Asteras Tripolis (-1.8) |
2 | Volos | 26 | 39 | 29.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 8 | -0.2 | +10.1 | 0:1 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.6) | 2:3 vs Panetolikos (-1.9) |
3 | PAOK | 26 | 54 | 49.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 4 | +3.2 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Olympiacos Piraeus (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Panathinaikos (-1.5) |
4 | AEK Athens FC | 26 | 59 | 55.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 1 | +2.8 | +0.9 | 0:2 vs Aris (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Volos (-2.4) |
5 | Panetolikos | 26 | 29 | 26.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 11 | -3.1 | +5.5 | 2:3 vs Volos (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Volos (-1.5) |
6 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 26 | 56 | 53.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 2 | +1.0 | +1.3 | 1:3 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.1) | 1:2 vs PAOK (-1.9) |
7 | Atromitos | 26 | 29 | 28.9 | +0.1On expectation | 9 | +3.2 | -3.1 | 0:1 vs OFI Crete (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Volos (-1.5) |
8 | OFI Crete | 26 | 26 | 29.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 7 | -7.7 | +4.2 | 0:1 vs Volos (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Ionikos (-1.8) |
9 | Aris | 26 | 40 | 43.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 5 | +3.9 | -7.7 | 2:1 vs Olympiacos Piraeus (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Ionikos (-1.9) |
10 | Giannina | 26 | 23 | 27.1 | -4.0Underperforming | 10 | -1.4 | -2.6 | 2:1 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Volos (-1.7) |
11 | Asteras Tripolis | 26 | 25 | 31.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 6 | +1.6 | -7.9 | 1:0 vs Panathinaikos (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Ionikos (-1.3) |
12 | Levadiakos | 26 | 17 | 23.4 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 14 | -0.4 | -6.0 | 2:0 vs OFI Crete (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Volos (-1.5) |
13 | Ionikos | 26 | 18 | 25.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 13 | -4.3 | -3.2 | 1:0 vs Aris (+2.2) | 1:4 vs Atromitos (-1.6) |
14 | Lamia | 26 | 17 | 26.1 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 12 | -5.4 | -3.7 | 2:1 vs Aris (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Ionikos (-1.6) |
