Super Leaguehub →Super League 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Super League splits into championship and relegation groups after round 26; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Panetolikos | 26 | 33 | 26.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 12 | +1.5 | +5.2 | 1:0 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Lamia (-1.7) |
2 | OFI Crete | 26 | 36 | 29.9 | +6.1Outperforming ++ | 8 | +0.4 | +5.7 | 1:2 vs PAOK (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Panetolikos (-1.6) |
3 | Asteras Tripolis | 26 | 35 | 30.9 | +4.0Outperforming | 7 | +0.7 | +3.3 | 0:1 vs Panathinaikos (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Panserraikos (-1.8) |
4 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 26 | 60 | 56.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 1 | +0.8 | +2.7 | 2:3 vs PAOK (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Asteras Tripolis (-2.0) |
5 | Aris | 26 | 42 | 38.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 5 | +5.0 | -1.9 | 0:1 vs PAOK (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Volos (-2.1) |
6 | Panserraikos | 26 | 28 | 24.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 13 | +1.2 | +1.9 | 1:0 vs AEK Athens FC (+2.5) | 2:3 vs OFI Crete (-1.4) |
7 | Atromitos | 26 | 35 | 33.0 | +2.0On expectation | 6 | -6.9 | +8.9 | 1:2 vs Levadiakos (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Volos (-1.8) |
8 | Levadiakos | 26 | 28 | 27.1 | +0.9On expectation | 10 | -2.8 | +3.7 | 4:1 vs Aris (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Atromitos (-1.4) |
9 | Panathinaikos | 26 | 50 | 50.5 | -0.5On expectation | 4 | +2.7 | -3.2 | 1:0 vs AEK Athens FC (+1.7) | 3:1 vs Lamia (-2.4) |
10 | AEK Athens FC | 26 | 53 | 55.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 2 | +0.3 | -2.8 | 1:2 vs PAOK (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Panserraikos (-2.3) |
11 | Volos | 26 | 22 | 27.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 9 | -9.4 | +4.4 | 1:2 vs PAOK (+2.7) | 1:0 vs Lamia (-1.9) |
12 | Athens Kallithea | 26 | 21 | 26.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 11 | -2.2 | -3.2 | 2:1 vs PAOK (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Panserraikos (-1.6) |
13 | Lamia | 26 | 15 | 20.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 14 | -3.3 | -2.5 | 3:1 vs Panathinaikos (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Panetolikos (-1.5) |
14 | PAOK | 26 | 46 | 52.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 3 | -8.7 | +2.1 | 0:5 vs OFI Crete (+1.1) | 1:2 vs Volos (-2.5) |