Regionalliga North 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | SC Weiche-08 | 13 | 29 | 16.8 | +12.2Outperforming ++ | 4 | +3.0 | +3.2 | 3:2 vs VfB Oldenburg (+1.7) | 2:1 vs Schoningen (-1.4) |
2 | Schoningen | 12 | 24 | 12.7 | +11.3Outperforming ++ | 8 | +4.7 | +0.6 | 1:0 vs VfB Oldenburg (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Hannoverscher SC (-1.7) |
3 | Hannover II | 11 | 21 | 10.4 | +10.6Outperforming ++ | 14 | +1.2 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Drochtersen/Assel (+1.9) | 2:2 vs VfB Lubeck (-1.2) |
4 | Delmenhorst | 11 | 15 | 7.8 | +7.2Outperforming ++ | 16 | +0.4 | -0.1 | 0:3 vs Hamburger SV II (+1.7) | 5:0 vs Jeddeloh (-1.8) |
5 | Drochtersen/Assel | 12 | 25 | 18.0 | +7.0Outperforming ++ | 1 | +0.7 | +0.3 | 8:2 vs Emden (+1.3) | 0:1 vs Werder Bremen II (-1.9) |
6 | Todesfelde | 12 | 11 | 4.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 18 | -0.6 | -0.5 | 1:2 vs Emden (+2.6) | 5:2 vs Delmenhorst (-1.2) |
7 | Eimsbutteler | 12 | 14 | 7.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 17 | +1.3 | -0.6 | 3:1 vs Bremer (+1.6) | 2:4 vs Werder Bremen II (-1.9) |
8 | Phonix Lubeck | 11 | 23 | 16.6 | +6.4Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.3 | +0.1 | 1:2 vs SC Weiche-08 (+1.5) | 3:2 vs Hannover II (-1.2) |
9 | VfB Oldenburg | 11 | 22 | 17.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 2 | +0.1 | -1.7 | 3:1 vs Drochtersen/Assel (+1.4) | 1:3 vs Jeddeloh (-2.1) |
10 | Norderstedt | 11 | 13 | 11.8 | +1.2On expectation | 10 | -1.3 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Hamburger SV II (+2.1) | 5:0 vs St. Pauli II (-1.5) |
11 | Hannoverscher SC | 12 | 13 | 12.1 | +0.9On expectation | 9 | -1.2 | -0.8 | 2:0 vs Schoningen (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Eimsbutteler (-1.3) |
12 | Emden | 12 | 18 | 17.3 | +0.7On expectation | 3 | +1.3 | -1.6 | 5:0 vs Schoningen (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Todesfelde (-2.5) |
13 | Werder Bremen II | 10 | 11 | 11.1 | -0.1On expectation | 11 | -5.1 | +4.0 | 0:1 vs Drochtersen/Assel (+2.1) | 2:1 vs St. Pauli II (-1.5) |
14 | St. Pauli II | 11 | 10 | 10.2 | -0.2On expectation | 15 | +0.8 | -1.0 | 2:1 vs Werder Bremen II (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Bremer (-1.7) |
15 | Lubeck | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.5On expectation | 19 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs SC Weiche-08 (+-0.4) | 1:1 vs SC Weiche-08 (-0.4) |
16 | Hamburger SV II | 11 | 10 | 10.6 | -0.6On expectation | 13 | -5.6 | +4.0 | 1:3 vs Jeddeloh (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Norderstedt (-1.9) |
17 | VfB Lubeck | 12 | 12 | 14.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 6 | -1.3 | -0.9 | 2:1 vs Bremer (+1.3) | 1:3 vs Hamburger SV II (-1.7) |
18 | Bremer | 11 | 8 | 10.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 12 | -5.4 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs St. Pauli II (+2.0) | 3:1 vs Eimsbutteler (-1.4) |
19 | Jeddeloh | 12 | 10 | 13.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 7 | -2.4 | -1.4 | 1:3 vs VfB Oldenburg (+2.3) | 0:4 vs Norderstedt (-1.8) |
