Regionalliga North 2023-2024 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Meppen	32	65	51.4	+13.6Outperforming ++	5	+15.5	-1.9	0:3 vs Teutonia Ottensen (+2.0)	0:1 vs Bremer (-1.9)
2	Hannover II	32	72	58.5	+13.6Outperforming ++	1	+13.6	-0.1	2:3 vs Teutonia Ottensen (+2.0)	1:0 vs Bremer (-2.1)
3	Bremer	32	44	32.8	+11.2Outperforming ++	14	+8.7	+2.6	1:0 vs Hannover II (+2.3)	3:1 vs Hamburger SV II (-1.2)
4	Drochtersen/Assel	32	57	51.1	+5.9Outperforming ++	6	+2.8	+3.1	1:3 vs VfB Oldenburg (+2.1)	2:3 vs Lohne (-1.9)
5	Phonix Lubeck	32	59	54.3	+4.7Outperforming	3	+2.4	+2.4	5:1 vs VfB Oldenburg (+1.9)	1:2 vs Eimsbutteler (-2.3)
6	Lohne	32	43	40.5	+2.5Outperforming	12	-0.5	+3.0	2:3 vs Drochtersen/Assel (+2.2)	1:2 vs Jeddeloh (-1.6)
7	08-St. Pauli II	1	3	1.1	+1.9On expectation	45	0.0	+1.9	0:5 vs SC Weiche (+1.9)	0:5 vs SC Weiche (1.9)
8	08-Hamburger SV II	1	3	1.1	+1.9On expectation	46	0.0	+1.9	1:2 vs SC Weiche (+1.9)	1:2 vs SC Weiche (1.9)
9	08-Holstein Kiel II	1	3	1.1	+1.9On expectation	44	0.0	+1.9	2:3 vs SC Weiche (+1.9)	2:3 vs SC Weiche (1.9)
10	08-Norderstedt	1	3	1.2	+1.8On expectation	43	0.0	+1.8	0:2 vs SC Weiche (+1.8)	0:2 vs SC Weiche (1.8)
11	08-Teutonia Ottensen	1	3	1.2	+1.8On expectation	42	0.0	+1.8	0:5 vs SC Weiche (+1.8)	0:5 vs SC Weiche (1.8)
12	08-TSV Havelse	1	3	1.3	+1.7On expectation	40	0.0	+1.7	1:2 vs SC Weiche (+1.7)	1:2 vs SC Weiche (1.7)
13	08-Phonix Lubeck	1	3	1.3	+1.7On expectation	39	0.0	+1.7	0:5 vs SC Weiche (+1.7)	0:5 vs SC Weiche (1.7)
14	08-Meppen	1	3	1.6	+1.4On expectation	35	0.0	+1.4	0:1 vs SC Weiche (+1.4)	0:1 vs SC Weiche (1.4)
15	Venhaus-Jeddeloh	1	3	1.6	+1.4On expectation	34	0.0	+1.4	1:3 vs Spelle (+1.4)	1:3 vs Spelle (1.4)
16	Venhaus-St. Pauli II	1	3	1.7	+1.3On expectation	32	0.0	+1.3	1:6 vs Spelle (+1.3)	1:6 vs Spelle (1.3)
17	Venhaus-Lohne	1	3	1.7	+1.3On expectation	31	0.0	+1.3	0:1 vs Spelle (+1.3)	0:1 vs Spelle (1.3)
18	Venhaus-Meppen	1	3	2.0	+1.0On expectation	29	0.0	+1.0	0:3 vs Spelle (+1.0)	0:3 vs Spelle (1.0)
19	Venhaus-Norderstedt	1	3	2.0	+1.0On expectation	30	0.0	+1.0	0:2 vs Spelle (+1.0)	0:2 vs Spelle (1.0)
20	Venhaus-TSV Havelse	1	3	2.0	+0.9On expectation	28	0.0	+0.9	1:3 vs Spelle (+0.9)	1:3 vs Spelle (0.9)
21	Venhaus-Phonix Lubeck	1	3	2.1	+0.9On expectation	27	0.0	+0.9	0:4 vs Spelle (+0.9)	0:4 vs Spelle (0.9)
22	Venhaus-Holstein Kiel II	1	3	2.1	+0.9On expectation	26	0.0	+0.9	0:3 vs Spelle (+0.9)	0:3 vs Spelle (0.9)
23	Venhaus-Hamburger SV II	1	3	2.2	+0.8On expectation	25	0.0	+0.8	2:6 vs Spelle (+0.8)	2:6 vs Spelle (0.8)
24	Hamburger SV II	32	45	44.2	+0.8On expectation	11	+2.9	-2.1	2:1 vs Hannover II (+1.9)	2:3 vs Holstein Kiel II (-1.4)
25	Venhaus-Drochtersen/Assel	1	3	2.3	+0.7On expectation	24	0.0	+0.7	1:3 vs Spelle (+0.7)	1:3 vs Spelle (0.7)
26	Venhaus-Hannover II	1	3	2.5	+0.5On expectation	21	0.0	+0.5	0:3 vs Spelle (+0.5)	0:3 vs Spelle (0.5)
27	08-Kilia Kiel	1	1	0.6	+0.4On expectation	52	0.0	+0.4	0:0 vs SC Weiche (+0.4)	0:0 vs SC Weiche (0.4)
28	08-Jeddeloh	1	1	0.9	+0.1On expectation	50	0.0	+0.1	2:2 vs SC Weiche (+0.1)	2:2 vs SC Weiche (0.1)
29	08-Bremer	1	1	0.9	+0.1On expectation	48	0.0	+0.1	4:4 vs SC Weiche (+0.1)	4:4 vs SC Weiche (0.1)
30	SC Weiche-08	18	26	26.0	+0.0On expectation	15	+0.5	-0.5	0:3 vs Holstein Kiel II (+1.8)	3:1 vs Jeddeloh (-1.7)
31	08-Hannover II	1	1	1.3	-0.3On expectation	41	0.0	-0.3	1:1 vs SC Weiche (+-0.3)	1:1 vs SC Weiche (-0.3)
32	08-VfB Oldenburg	1	1	1.5	-0.5On expectation	38	0.0	-0.5	2:2 vs SC Weiche (+-0.5)	2:2 vs SC Weiche (-0.5)
33	08-Drochtersen/Assel	1	1	1.5	-0.5On expectation	37	0.0	-0.5	2:2 vs SC Weiche (+-0.5)	2:2 vs SC Weiche (-0.5)
34	Holstein Kiel II	32	50	50.6	-0.6On expectation	7	-3.3	+2.7	1:2 vs TSV Havelse (+2.0)	1:0 vs Kilia Kiel (-2.6)
35	Venhaus-Bremer	1	1	1.6	-0.6On expectation	33	0.0	-0.6	2:2 vs Spelle (+-0.6)	2:2 vs Spelle (-0.6)
36	08-Eimsbutteler	1	0	0.7	-0.7On expectation	51	0.0	-0.7	1:0 vs SC Weiche (+-0.7)	1:0 vs SC Weiche (-0.7)
37	Venhaus-Eimsbutteler	1	0	0.9	-0.9On expectation	49	0.0	-0.9	3:2 vs Spelle (+-0.9)	3:2 vs Spelle (-0.9)
38	08-Lohne	1	0	1.0	-1.0On expectation	47	0.0	-1.0	4:3 vs SC Weiche (+-1.0)	4:3 vs SC Weiche (-1.0)
39	Venhaus-Teutonia Ottensen	1	1	2.4	-1.4On expectation	23	0.0	-1.4	1:1 vs Spelle (+-1.4)	1:1 vs Spelle (-1.4)
40	Venhaus-VfB Oldenburg	1	1	2.4	-1.4On expectation	22	0.0	-1.4	3:3 vs Spelle (+-1.4)	3:3 vs Spelle (-1.4)
41	Venhaus-Kilia Kiel	1	0	1.5	-1.5On expectation	36	0.0	-1.5	2:0 vs Spelle (+-1.5)	2:0 vs Spelle (-1.5)
42	Eimsbutteler	32	22	25.1	-3.1Underperforming	18	-0.5	-2.7	1:2 vs Phonix Lubeck (+2.5)	0:4 vs Lohne (-1.0)
43	VfB Oldenburg	32	55	58.3	-3.3Underperforming	2	-0.2	-3.1	1:3 vs Holstein Kiel II (+1.6)	1:2 vs Jeddeloh (-2.2)
44	Jeddeloh	32	35	38.5	-3.5Underperforming	13	-3.9	+0.5	1:2 vs VfB Oldenburg (+2.4)	1:2 vs Eimsbutteler (-1.9)
45	Spelle	16	9	13.5	-4.5Underperforming	19	-4.5	0.0	2:0 vs Venhaus-Kilia Kiel (+1.8)	1:3 vs Venhaus-Jeddeloh (-1.2)
46	TSV Havelse	32	43	49.1	-6.1Underperforming −−	8	-4.2	-1.9	1:2 vs VfB Oldenburg (+2.1)	3:4 vs Kilia Kiel (-2.4)
47	Kilia Kiel	32	19	25.4	-6.4Underperforming −−	17	-3.9	-2.5	1:0 vs Holstein Kiel II (+2.7)	5:1 vs Eimsbutteler (-1.2)
48	Spelle-Venhaus	18	3	10.3	-7.3Underperforming −−	20	-0.7	-6.7	1:1 vs Kilia Kiel (+0.1)	2:0 vs Norderstedt (-0.7)
49	Norderstedt	32	37	44.9	-7.9Underperforming −−	10	-3.4	-4.5	5:0 vs VfB Oldenburg (+2.0)	5:0 vs Eimsbutteler (-2.1)
50	St. Pauli II	32	37	45.0	-8.0Underperforming −−	9	-11.1	+3.1	3:4 vs Meppen (+2.0)	0:1 vs Lohne (-1.8)
51	Teutonia Ottensen	32	44	53.7	-9.7Underperforming −−	4	-1.7	-8.0	1:0 vs VfB Oldenburg (+1.8)	1:0 vs Bremer (-2.0)
52	SC Weiche	16	12	25.8	-13.8Underperforming −−	16	-13.8	0.0	4:3 vs 08-Lohne (+1.3)	1:2 vs 08-Hamburger SV II (-1.7)