Regionalliga North 2020-2021 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Werder Bremen II	8	20	13.7	+6.3Outperforming ++	6	+0.3	+6.0	0:1 vs BSV Rehden (+1.7)	0:0 vs Delmenhorst (-0.9)
2	SC Weiche-08	5	15	9.5	+5.5Outperforming ++	18	0.0	+5.5	0:4 vs St. Pauli II (+1.4)	0:1 vs Heider SV (0.8)
3	Phonix Lubeck	9	15	11.6	+3.4Outperforming	13	+1.3	+2.1	1:0 vs Hamburger SV II (+1.8)	0:3 vs Norderstedt (-1.4)
4	Oberneuland	10	12	8.6	+3.4Outperforming	20	+1.4	+1.9	1:0 vs Wolfsburg II (+2.4)	0:1 vs Hildesheim (-1.3)
5	BSV Rehden	9	17	13.7	+3.3Outperforming	7	+2.2	+1.2	2:1 vs TSV Havelse (+1.8)	0:1 vs Werder Bremen II (-1.5)
6	Norderstedt	8	16	12.7	+3.3Outperforming	9	+2.4	+1.0	3:2 vs Hamburger SV II (+1.8)	3:0 vs St. Pauli II (-1.6)
7	TSV Havelse	9	20	16.7	+3.3Outperforming	1	+3.2	+0.1	1:6 vs Delmenhorst (+1.5)	2:1 vs BSV Rehden (-1.5)
8	St. Pauli II	10	16	12.9	+3.1Outperforming	8	+2.0	+1.1	0:3 vs Teutonia Ottensen (+2.1)	0:3 vs Phonix Lubeck (-1.4)
9	VfB Oldenburg	8	14	11.8	+2.2Outperforming	12	+2.4	-0.2	4:1 vs Hannover II (+1.5)	1:3 vs Werder Bremen II (-1.4)
10	08-Hamburger SV II	1	3	0.9	+2.1Outperforming	26	0.0	+2.1	1:2 vs SC Weiche (+2.1)	1:2 vs SC Weiche (2.1)
11	Jeddeloh	8	12	10.0	+2.0On expectation	16	-0.9	+2.9	1:2 vs Hannover II (+1.9)	0:1 vs Oberneuland (-2.2)
12	SC Weiche	4	9	7.4	+1.6On expectation	21	+1.6	0.0	1:0 vs 08-Drochtersen/Assel (+1.5)	1:2 vs 08-Hamburger SV II (-1.9)
13	Luneburger Hansa	9	12	10.8	+1.2On expectation	15	+1.6	-0.3	0:3 vs Holstein Kiel II (+1.9)	4:0 vs Teutonia Ottensen (-0.9)
14	Drochtersen/Assel	8	15	13.9	+1.1On expectation	5	+0.8	+0.2	0:2 vs Hamburger SV II (+1.8)	1:2 vs Teutonia Ottensen (-2.0)
15	Teutonia Ottensen	10	16	15.2	+0.8On expectation	3	-1.5	+2.3	1:2 vs Drochtersen/Assel (+2.2)	2:0 vs Heider SV (-2.2)
16	Hannover II	9	13	12.6	+0.4On expectation	10	-0.9	+1.3	1:2 vs Wolfsburg II (+2.1)	1:2 vs Jeddeloh (-1.7)
17	Hildesheim	9	11	11.3	-0.3On expectation	14	-1.2	+0.8	0:1 vs Hannover II (+1.7)	2:4 vs Hannoverscher SC (-1.8)
18	08-Holstein Kiel II	1	0	0.5	-0.5On expectation	27	0.0	-0.5	3:1 vs SC Weiche (+-0.5)	3:1 vs SC Weiche (-0.5)
19	08-Norderstedt	1	0	1.1	-1.1On expectation	25	0.0	-1.1	3:1 vs SC Weiche (+-1.1)	3:1 vs SC Weiche (-1.1)
20	08-Drochtersen/Assel	1	0	1.2	-1.2On expectation	24	0.0	-1.2	1:0 vs SC Weiche (+-1.2)	1:0 vs SC Weiche (-1.2)
21	Heider SV	8	4	5.7	-1.7On expectation	23	+0.7	-2.4	2:0 vs Teutonia Ottensen (+2.4)	0:3 vs Phonix Lubeck (-1.0)
22	Holstein Kiel II	9	9	12.3	-3.3Underperforming	11	+0.5	-3.8	3:1 vs Drochtersen/Assel (+1.8)	0:3 vs Luneburger Hansa (-1.7)
23	Hamburger SV II	9	12	15.3	-3.3Underperforming	2	-2.3	-1.0	1:3 vs Holstein Kiel II (+1.5)	0:2 vs Drochtersen/Assel (-1.6)
24	Hannoverscher SC	10	6	9.7	-3.7Underperforming	17	-5.9	+2.1	0:2 vs Delmenhorst (+2.1)	3:5 vs Jeddeloh (-1.5)
25	Altona	7	3	7.0	-4.0Underperforming	22	-2.5	-1.4	2:1 vs Holstein Kiel II (+1.8)	1:2 vs St. Pauli II (-1.3)
26	Wolfsburg II	9	9	15.1	-6.1Underperforming −−	4	-2.5	-3.7	1:0 vs VfB Oldenburg (+1.5)	1:0 vs Oberneuland (-2.2)
27	Delmenhorst	7	2	9.1	-7.1Underperforming −−	19	-3.4	-3.8	0:0 vs Werder Bremen II (+0.1)	0:2 vs Hannoverscher SC (-1.8)