Regionalliga North 2021-2022 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Holstein Kiel II	19	40	28.4	+11.6Outperforming ++	8	+5.0	+6.6	1:0 vs Lubeck (+2.1)	2:1 vs Heider SV (-2.1)
2	Werder Bremen II	18	42	33.4	+8.6Outperforming ++	3	+7.2	+1.3	3:0 vs BSV Rehden (+1.6)	1:0 vs Delmenhorst (-1.9)
3	VfB Oldenburg	18	43	34.5	+8.5Outperforming ++	1	+2.6	+5.9	0:2 vs Hildesheim (+1.6)	1:2 vs Hildesheim (-2.3)
4	Hildesheim	18	29	25.7	+3.3Outperforming	12	+2.6	+0.7	1:2 vs VfB Oldenburg (+2.4)	4:1 vs Delmenhorst (-1.5)
5	SC Weiche-08	10	22	19.1	+2.9Outperforming	18	0.0	+2.9	1:2 vs Norderstedt (+1.4)	2:1 vs St. Pauli II (-2.0)
6	Drochtersen/Assel	19	32	29.5	+2.5Outperforming	5	+1.3	+1.3	1:3 vs Teutonia Ottensen (+1.8)	0:3 vs Holstein Kiel II (-1.7)
7	08-Hamburger SV II	1	3	0.7	+2.3Outperforming	28	0.0	+2.3	0:1 vs SC Weiche (+2.3)	0:1 vs SC Weiche (2.3)
8	08-Teutonia Ottensen	1	3	1.0	+2.0Outperforming	24	0.0	+2.0	0:3 vs SC Weiche (+2.0)	0:3 vs SC Weiche (2.0)
9	Hamburger SV II	19	31	29.2	+1.8On expectation	7	-0.3	+2.1	2:3 vs Phonix Lubeck (+1.8)	2:3 vs Norderstedt (-1.5)
10	Delmenhorst	18	25	23.6	+1.4On expectation	14	+4.2	-2.8	1:0 vs Werder Bremen II (+2.1)	0:1 vs Hannoverscher SC (-1.7)
11	Teutonia Ottensen	19	33	32.0	+1.0On expectation	4	+3.0	-2.0	1:0 vs SC Weiche-08 (+2.1)	1:3 vs Drochtersen/Assel (-1.5)
12	Jeddeloh	18	24	23.1	+0.9On expectation	15	+1.2	-0.2	2:3 vs BSV Rehden (+1.8)	0:5 vs Hannover II (-1.5)
13	08-Phonix Lubeck	1	1	0.6	+0.4On expectation	30	0.0	+0.4	2:2 vs SC Weiche (+0.4)	2:2 vs SC Weiche (0.4)
14	08-Drochtersen/Assel	1	1	0.7	+0.3On expectation	27	0.0	+0.3	0:0 vs SC Weiche (+0.3)	0:0 vs SC Weiche (0.3)
15	08-St. Pauli II	1	1	0.8	+0.2On expectation	26	0.0	+0.2	3:3 vs SC Weiche (+0.2)	3:3 vs SC Weiche (0.2)
16	08-Holstein Kiel II	1	1	0.9	+0.1On expectation	25	0.0	+0.1	0:0 vs SC Weiche (+0.1)	0:0 vs SC Weiche (0.1)
17	08-Heider SV	1	0	0.3	-0.3On expectation	32	0.0	-0.3	3:1 vs SC Weiche (+-0.3)	3:1 vs SC Weiche (-0.3)
18	08-Altona	1	0	0.3	-0.3On expectation	31	0.0	-0.3	4:2 vs SC Weiche (+-0.3)	4:2 vs SC Weiche (-0.3)
19	Lubeck	19	33	33.6	-0.6On expectation	2	-0.2	-0.5	0:3 vs Teutonia Ottensen (+1.6)	1:0 vs Holstein Kiel II (-1.8)
20	08-Norderstedt	1	0	0.7	-0.7On expectation	29	0.0	-0.7	2:1 vs SC Weiche (+-0.7)	2:1 vs SC Weiche (-0.7)
21	08-Lubeck	1	0	1.2	-1.2On expectation	23	0.0	-1.2	2:1 vs SC Weiche (+-1.2)	2:1 vs SC Weiche (-1.2)
22	St. Pauli II	19	23	25.7	-2.7Underperforming	11	+1.5	-4.3	2:1 vs SC Weiche-08 (+2.2)	1:0 vs Heider SV (-2.2)
23	Hannover II	18	24	27.0	-3.0Underperforming	10	-3.0	-0.1	0:5 vs Jeddeloh (+1.8)	0:1 vs Luneburger Hansa (-2.0)
24	Oberneuland	18	12	15.0	-3.0Underperforming	20	-0.7	-2.4	2:3 vs BSV Rehden (+2.2)	0:1 vs Jeddeloh (-1.3)
25	Hannoverscher SC	18	15	18.1	-3.1Underperforming	19	-1.0	-2.1	2:1 vs BSV Rehden (+2.2)	0:2 vs Luneburger Hansa (-1.4)
26	Heider SV	19	9	12.4	-3.4Underperforming	22	+0.9	-4.3	1:0 vs St. Pauli II (+2.4)	1:2 vs Altona (-1.3)
27	Phonix Lubeck	19	20	23.8	-3.8Underperforming	13	-1.9	-1.9	2:0 vs St. Pauli II (+1.7)	2:3 vs Holstein Kiel II (-1.6)
28	Luneburger Hansa	18	16	20.1	-4.2Underperforming	17	-3.8	-0.3	0:1 vs Hannover II (+2.2)	2:1 vs Oberneuland (-1.5)
29	SC Weiche	10	16	20.7	-4.7Underperforming	16	-4.7	0.0	2:1 vs 08-Lubeck (+1.5)	0:1 vs 08-Hamburger SV II (-2.1)
30	Altona	19	9	13.9	-4.9Underperforming	21	-3.0	-1.9	1:2 vs Heider SV (+1.6)	2:4 vs Phonix Lubeck (-0.9)
31	Norderstedt	19	23	29.3	-6.3Underperforming −−	6	-5.5	-0.8	2:3 vs Hamburger SV II (+1.7)	1:1 vs Altona (-1.5)
32	BSV Rehden	18	18	27.9	-9.9Underperforming −−	9	-5.8	-4.1	2:4 vs Hannover II (+1.8)	2:3 vs Oberneuland (-2.0)