Regionalliga Northhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bremer | 35 | 46 | 32.2 | +13.8Outperforming ++ | 18 | +8.5 | +5.3 | 1:2 vs Drochtersen/Assel (+2.4) | 3:0 vs Emden (-1.5) |
2 | Hamburger SV II | 35 | 72 | 58.3 | +13.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.7 | +6.0 | 1:2 vs Hannover II (+1.9) | 0:2 vs SC Weiche-08 (-2.1) |
3 | Hannover II | 35 | 67 | 56.0 | +11.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | +8.3 | +2.7 | 2:0 vs Teutonia Ottensen (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Hamburger SV II (-1.6) |
4 | TSV Havelse | 35 | 55 | 49.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 10 | +2.3 | +3.5 | 2:0 vs SC Weiche-08 (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Lohne (-1.6) |
5 | Lubeck | 35 | 76 | 71.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 1 | +3.0 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Teutonia Ottensen (+1.4) | 2:1 vs St. Pauli II (-2.1) |
6 | St. Pauli II | 35 | 48 | 44.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 12 | +2.1 | +1.9 | 2:1 vs Lubeck (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Emden (-2.4) |
7 | Lohne | 35 | 46 | 42.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 16 | +0.6 | +2.8 | 1:2 vs BSV Rehden (+2.0) | 3:1 vs Bremer (-1.4) |
8 | 08-Lohne | 1 | 3 | 0.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 36 | 0.0 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs SC Weiche (+2.4) | 1:2 vs SC Weiche (2.4) |
9 | 08-Hildesheim | 1 | 3 | 0.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 35 | 0.0 | +2.4 | 1:3 vs SC Weiche (+2.4) | 1:3 vs SC Weiche (2.4) |
10 | Jeddeloh | 35 | 48 | 45.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 11 | +9.5 | -7.2 | 2:0 vs Teutonia Ottensen (+2.1) | 3:2 vs Bremer (-1.8) |
11 | 08-Werder Bremen II | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 33 | 0.0 | +2.2 | 0:2 vs SC Weiche (+2.2) | 0:2 vs SC Weiche (2.2) |
12 | 08-Jeddeloh | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 32 | 0.0 | +2.2 | 2:3 vs SC Weiche (+2.2) | 2:3 vs SC Weiche (2.2) |
13 | 08-St. Pauli II | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 27 | 0.0 | +2.0 | 0:1 vs SC Weiche (+2.0) | 0:1 vs SC Weiche (2.0) |
14 | 08-Hamburger SV II | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | +1.9 | 2:3 vs SC Weiche (+1.9) | 2:3 vs SC Weiche (1.9) |
15 | Teutonia Ottensen | 35 | 57 | 55.8 | +1.2On expectation | 4 | -2.8 | +4.1 | 2:3 vs Lubeck (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Hildesheim (-2.0) |
16 | 08-Norderstedt | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +0.1On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | +0.1 | 1:1 vs SC Weiche (+0.1) | 1:1 vs SC Weiche (0.1) |
17 | 08-Holstein Kiel II | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | +0.0 | 0:0 vs SC Weiche (+0.0) | 0:0 vs SC Weiche (0.0) |
18 | 08-Teutonia Ottensen | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 2:2 vs SC Weiche (+-0.0) | 2:2 vs SC Weiche (-0.0) |
19 | 08-Emden | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3On expectation | 38 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 4:1 vs SC Weiche (+-0.3) | 4:1 vs SC Weiche (-0.3) |
20 | 08-Bremer | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -0.3On expectation | 37 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 2:1 vs SC Weiche (+-0.3) | 2:1 vs SC Weiche (-0.3) |
21 | 08-Delmenhorst | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 3:1 vs SC Weiche (+-0.8) | 3:1 vs SC Weiche (-0.8) |
22 | 08-BSV Rehden | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 2:1 vs SC Weiche (+-0.9) | 2:1 vs SC Weiche (-0.9) |
23 | 08-Phonix Lubeck | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 2:0 vs SC Weiche (+-0.9) | 2:0 vs SC Weiche (-0.9) |
24 | SC Weiche-08 | 18 | 26 | 27.1 | -1.1On expectation | 19 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 0:2 vs Hamburger SV II (+2.3) | 4:0 vs Bremer (-1.9) |
25 | 08-Drochtersen/Assel | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs SC Weiche (+-1.1) | 2:1 vs SC Weiche (-1.1) |
26 | 08-Hannover II | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 2:1 vs SC Weiche (+-1.2) | 2:1 vs SC Weiche (-1.2) |
27 | 08-TSV Havelse | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 22 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 2:0 vs SC Weiche (+-1.2) | 2:0 vs SC Weiche (-1.2) |
28 | 08-Lubeck | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 21 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 1:0 vs SC Weiche (+-1.5) | 1:0 vs SC Weiche (-1.5) |
29 | BSV Rehden | 35 | 41 | 42.7 | -1.7On expectation | 15 | -2.1 | +0.5 | 0:3 vs Werder Bremen II (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Lohne (-1.8) |
30 | Drochtersen/Assel | 35 | 50 | 52.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 7 | +0.1 | -2.7 | 2:4 vs Werder Bremen II (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Bremer (-2.3) |
31 | SC Weiche | 18 | 30 | 33.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 17 | -3.7 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs 08-Lubeck (+1.8) | 1:2 vs 08-Lohne (-2.3) |
32 | Holstein Kiel II | 35 | 46 | 50.9 | -4.8Underperforming | 9 | +2.7 | -7.6 | 1:2 vs Phonix Lubeck (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Bremer (-2.0) |
33 | Emden | 35 | 15 | 20.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 20 | -6.9 | +1.2 | 1:2 vs Phonix Lubeck (+2.6) | 1:3 vs TSV Havelse (-1.0) |
34 | Norderstedt | 35 | 47 | 53.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 6 | -4.8 | -1.6 | 0:1 vs Lubeck (+2.2) | 1:2 vs BSV Rehden (-2.0) |
35 | Hildesheim | 35 | 36 | 43.4 | -7.4Underperforming −− | 14 | -1.1 | -6.3 | 2:3 vs Teutonia Ottensen (+2.2) | 0:4 vs Bremer (-2.2) |
36 | Phonix Lubeck | 35 | 47 | 54.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 5 | -6.9 | -0.6 | 2:3 vs Norderstedt (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Emden (-2.5) |
37 | Werder Bremen II | 35 | 42 | 51.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 8 | -1.1 | -7.9 | 2:1 vs Lubeck (+2.1) | 0:3 vs BSV Rehden (-2.1) |
38 | Delmenhorst | 35 | 32 | 43.7 | -11.7Underperforming −− | 13 | -3.3 | -8.4 | 0:2 vs Phonix Lubeck (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Lohne (-1.4) |
