Regionalliga North 2025-2026 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Jeddeloh	35	67	52.0	+15.0Outperforming ++	7	+5.9	+9.1	1:3 vs VfB Oldenburg (+2.1)	0:4 vs Hannover II (-1.7)
2	Bremer	34	52	39.0	+13.0Outperforming ++	14	+7.1	+5.9	2:3 vs Meppen (+2.6)	2:3 vs Lubeck (-1.6)
3	Meppen	35	83	72.4	+10.6Outperforming ++	1	+4.2	+6.4	0:1 vs Emden (+1.8)	2:3 vs Bremer (-2.5)
4	Phonix Lubeck	35	59	52.2	+6.8Outperforming ++	6	+4.6	+2.2	1:3 vs Emden (+1.8)	0:2 vs Norderstedt (-1.9)
5	VfB Oldenburg	35	72	66.0	+6.0Outperforming ++	2	-0.9	+6.9	0:1 vs Meppen (+1.9)	1:2 vs SC Weiche-08 (-2.1)
6	Drochtersen/Assel	35	70	65.0	+5.0Outperforming ++	3	+8.2	-3.2	3:4 vs VfB Oldenburg (+1.9)	0:2 vs Hamburger SV II (-2.3)
7	Hannoverscher SC	35	37	32.2	+4.8Outperforming	18	+1.3	+3.5	1:3 vs Hannover II (+2.4)	0:2 vs St. Pauli II (-1.6)
8	SC Weiche-08	34	49	45.1	+3.9Outperforming	11	-0.5	+4.4	5:3 vs Meppen (+2.3)	1:3 vs Lohne (-1.6)
9	SC Weiche	10	16	14.4	+1.6On expectation	19	+1.6	0.0	5:3 vs Meppen (+2.3)	1:3 vs Lohne (-1.6)
10	Hamburger SV II	36	48	47.3	+0.7On expectation	9	-0.9	+1.6	0:2 vs Drochtersen/Assel (+2.5)	4:1 vs Hannoverscher SC (-1.6)
11	Lubeck	35	46	46.1	-0.1On expectation	10	+0.7	-0.8	3:1 vs VfB Oldenburg (+1.9)	1:2 vs Hannoverscher SC (-2.0)
12	Hannover II	34	53	55.9	-2.9Underperforming	4	-2.9	-0.1	0:4 vs Jeddeloh (+1.9)	1:3 vs Hannoverscher SC (-2.3)
13	Schoningen	34	34	37.0	-3.0Underperforming	15	-5.4	+2.4	1:2 vs Emden (+2.6)	1:4 vs Hannoverscher SC (-1.8)
14	Emden	34	51	54.8	-3.8Underperforming	5	-6.2	+2.4	4:2 vs VfB Oldenburg (+2.1)	1:2 vs Schoningen (-2.4)
15	Werder Bremen II	36	41	47.7	-6.7Underperforming −−	8	+1.5	-8.2	1:0 vs Drochtersen/Assel (+2.1)	1:3 vs Schoningen (-1.8)
16	Altona	34	23	33.2	-10.2Underperforming −−	17	-3.2	-7.0	1:2 vs Lubeck (+2.1)	0:2 vs Hamburger SV II (-1.6)
17	Norderstedt	34	30	40.4	-10.4Underperforming −−	13	-5.3	-5.0	2:0 vs Drochtersen/Assel (+2.1)	3:6 vs Hannoverscher SC (-1.8)
18	St. Pauli II	34	25	36.6	-11.6Underperforming −−	16	-7.0	-4.6	1:3 vs Hannover II (+2.4)	2:4 vs Altona (-1.8)
19	Lohne	35	26	42.2	-16.2Underperforming −−	12	-8.7	-7.5	2:1 vs Hannover II (+2.1)	2:3 vs Hannoverscher SC (-2.0)