WSL 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Manchester City W | 7 | 19 | 15.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 2 | +3.3 | -0.1 | 4:2 vs Arsenal W (+1.5) | 1:1 vs Manchester Utd W (-1.0) |
2 | Aston Villa W | 7 | 9 | 5.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 12 | +0.9 | +2.2 | 2:1 vs Liverpool W (+2.2) | 1:1 vs Crystal Palace W (-0.8) |
3 | Chelsea W | 7 | 19 | 16.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 1 | +1.0 | +1.8 | 1:0 vs Arsenal W (+1.5) | 1:1 vs Aston Villa W (-1.5) |
4 | London City Lionesses W | 7 | 16 | 13.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 4 | +3.2 | -0.8 | 1:6 vs Tottenham W (+1.7) | 2:1 vs West Ham W (-2.2) |
5 | Manchester Utd W | 7 | 11 | 9.3 | +1.7On expectation | 9 | +1.7 | -0.0 | 1:0 vs Liverpool W (+1.3) | 2:1 vs London City Lionesses W (-1.2) |
6 | Crystal Palace W | 7 | 6 | 5.0 | +1.0On expectation | 13 | +0.0 | +0.9 | 1:0 vs Everton W (+2.0) | 0:1 vs West Ham W (-1.1) |
7 | West Ham W | 7 | 6 | 6.3 | -0.3On expectation | 11 | +0.5 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs London City Lionesses W (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Everton W (-1.5) |
8 | Birmingham W | 7 | 6 | 6.4 | -0.4On expectation | 10 | +0.3 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs Charlton W (+1.0) | 2:1 vs Everton W (-1.0) |
9 | Tottenham W | 7 | 10 | 10.4 | -0.4On expectation | 6 | -0.4 | -0.0 | 3:1 vs West Ham W (+0.9) | 1:6 vs London City Lionesses W (-1.4) |
10 | Everton W | 7 | 9 | 9.8 | -0.8On expectation | 7 | +0.4 | -1.2 | 0:1 vs West Ham W (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Aston Villa W (-1.7) |
11 | Liverpool W | 7 | 8 | 9.7 | -1.7On expectation | 8 | +0.9 | -2.6 | 2:0 vs Everton W (+1.2) | 2:1 vs Aston Villa W (-2.0) |
12 | Brighton W | 7 | 8 | 10.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 5 | -0.2 | -2.5 | 3:0 vs West Ham W (+0.9) | 1:1 vs Aston Villa W (-1.1) |
13 | Charlton W | 7 | 0 | 3.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 14 | -1.7 | -1.9 | 0:1 vs Manchester City W (+-0.2) | 0:4 vs Liverpool W (-0.8) |
14 | Arsenal W | 7 | 9 | 14.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 3 | -4.9 | -0.9 | 1:2 vs Tottenham W (+1.0) | 0:0 vs Crystal Palace W (-1.7) |
