WSL 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liverpool W | 22 | 41 | 26.4 | +14.6Outperforming ++ | 7 | +5.8 | +8.8 | 0:1 vs Arsenal W (+2.7) | 0:1 vs Everton W (-1.8) |
2 | Manchester City W | 22 | 55 | 49.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 3 | -0.8 | +6.3 | 0:1 vs Chelsea W (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Brighton W (-2.6) |
3 | Chelsea W | 22 | 55 | 49.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.4 | +1.1 | 3:1 vs Arsenal W (+1.6) | 4:3 vs Liverpool W (-2.5) |
4 | Tottenham W | 22 | 31 | 28.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 5 | -0.4 | +3.3 | 1:0 vs Arsenal W (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Aston Villa W (-1.6) |
5 | Everton W | 22 | 23 | 21.1 | +1.9On expectation | 10 | -4.4 | +6.3 | 1:2 vs Aston Villa W (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Leicester W (-1.7) |
6 | Arsenal W | 22 | 50 | 49.8 | +0.2On expectation | 1 | +4.0 | -3.8 | 1:2 vs Manchester City W (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Liverpool W (-2.6) |
7 | Brighton W | 22 | 19 | 21.0 | -2.0On expectation | 11 | -7.3 | +5.3 | 0:1 vs Manchester City W (+2.7) | 0:2 vs West Ham W (-1.7) |
8 | Leicester W | 22 | 18 | 21.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 9 | -3.8 | +0.6 | 0:1 vs Everton W (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Brighton W (-1.7) |
9 | Aston Villa W | 22 | 24 | 27.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 6 | -8.7 | +5.0 | 1:2 vs Tottenham W (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Everton W (-1.9) |
10 | Manchester Utd W | 22 | 35 | 41.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 4 | -4.0 | -2.2 | 0:4 vs Tottenham W (+1.1) | 1:2 vs Liverpool W (-2.2) |
11 | Bristol City W | 22 | 6 | 12.4 | -6.4Underperforming −− | 12 | -7.0 | +0.6 | 2:3 vs West Ham W (+2.3) | 2:4 vs Leicester W (-1.2) |
12 | West Ham W | 22 | 15 | 21.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 8 | -5.2 | -1.7 | 2:1 vs Arsenal W (+2.6) | 2:3 vs Bristol City W (-2.1) |
