WSL 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Chelsea W | 22 | 57 | 46.0 | +11.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.1 | -0.0 | 3:1 vs Manchester City W (+1.1) | 1:2 vs Brighton W (-2.7) |
2 | Manchester City W | 22 | 55 | 45.0 | +10.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.1 | +0.9 | 2:1 vs Arsenal W (+1.5) | 0:0 vs Brighton W (-1.7) |
3 | Brighton W | 22 | 27 | 21.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 7 | +4.1 | +1.6 | 1:2 vs Chelsea W (+2.8) | 0:2 vs Aston Villa W (-2.1) |
4 | Everton W | 22 | 32 | 28.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 5 | -3.5 | +1.1 | 2:3 vs Tottenham W (+1.5) | 1:1 vs Birmingham W (-1.4) |
5 | Manchester Utd W | 22 | 47 | 44.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 4 | +3.4 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs Arsenal W (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Brighton W (-2.5) |
6 | Bristol City W | 22 | 12 | 9.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 12 | +2.1 | -0.8 | 3:2 vs Reading W (+2.5) | 3:1 vs Brighton W (-1.1) |
7 | Arsenal W | 22 | 48 | 45.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 2 | +1.4 | -2.2 | 2:0 vs Manchester Utd W (+1.3) | 0:0 vs Aston Villa W (-1.7) |
8 | Birmingham W | 21 | 15 | 14.1 | +0.9On expectation | 11 | -4.9 | +4.8 | 0:1 vs Reading W (+2.3) | 1:2 vs West Ham W (-1.5) |
9 | Aston Villa W | 22 | 15 | 14.9 | +0.1On expectation | 10 | -2.9 | +0.0 | 0:2 vs Brighton W (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Birmingham W (-1.6) |
10 | Reading W | 22 | 24 | 26.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 6 | -2.1 | -0.3 | 0:2 vs Manchester Utd W (+2.4) | 3:2 vs Bristol City W (-2.3) |
11 | Tottenham W | 21 | 17 | 20.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 8 | -1.5 | -2.3 | 0:1 vs West Ham W (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Aston Villa W (-1.7) |
12 | West Ham W | 22 | 15 | 20.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 9 | -7.5 | -1.3 | 1:2 vs Birmingham W (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Brighton W (-1.5) |
