WSL 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tottenham W | 22 | 36 | 25.7 | +10.3Outperforming ++ | 7 | +6.0 | +4.3 | 1:0 vs Brighton W (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Everton W (-1.9) |
2 | Manchester City W | 22 | 55 | 47.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | +8.3 | -1.0 | 3:2 vs Arsenal W (+1.7) | 3:2 vs Brighton W (-2.2) |
3 | Everton W | 22 | 23 | 19.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 10 | -2.4 | +5.5 | 0:1 vs Chelsea W (+2.7) | 0:2 vs Tottenham W (-1.4) |
4 | Arsenal W | 22 | 51 | 48.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 2 | +1.9 | +0.6 | 0:2 vs Chelsea W (+2.0) | 1:1 vs Aston Villa W (-1.6) |
5 | London City Lionesses W | 22 | 27 | 25.8 | +1.2On expectation | 6 | +1.6 | -0.4 | 1:3 vs Aston Villa W (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Leicester W (-1.9) |
6 | Manchester Utd W | 22 | 40 | 40.3 | -0.3On expectation | 4 | -2.5 | +2.2 | 1:4 vs Aston Villa W (+1.3) | 0:1 vs Aston Villa W (-2.3) |
7 | West Ham W | 22 | 19 | 19.6 | -0.6On expectation | 11 | -0.7 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Liverpool W (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Tottenham W (-1.3) |
8 | Chelsea W | 22 | 49 | 49.7 | -0.7On expectation | 1 | +0.8 | -1.5 | 2:1 vs Manchester City W (+1.2) | 0:1 vs Everton W (-2.6) |
9 | Brighton W | 22 | 26 | 28.1 | -2.0Underperforming | 5 | +0.3 | -2.3 | 3:2 vs Manchester City W (+2.4) | 3:2 vs West Ham W (-1.8) |
10 | Liverpool W | 22 | 17 | 22.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 9 | -0.4 | -5.1 | 2:0 vs Tottenham W (+1.8) | 0:1 vs West Ham W (-1.9) |
11 | Aston Villa W | 22 | 20 | 25.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 8 | -5.2 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs Manchester Utd W (+2.5) | 0:2 vs West Ham W (-1.7) |
12 | Leicester W | 22 | 9 | 15.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 12 | -1.7 | -4.6 | 1:0 vs London City Lionesses W (+2.1) | 1:2 vs West Ham W (-1.3) |
