WSL 2021-2022 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Arsenal W | 22 | 55 | 45.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.7 | -1.4 | 3:2 vs Chelsea W (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Birmingham W (-2.8) |
2 | Reading W | 22 | 25 | 20.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 9 | +4.6 | -0.8 | 1:0 vs Chelsea W (+2.8) | 4:1 vs Brighton W (-1.4) |
3 | Chelsea W | 22 | 56 | 51.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 1 | +3.1 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs Manchester City W (+1.2) | 1:0 vs Reading W (-2.7) |
4 | Tottenham W | 22 | 32 | 28.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 5 | +3.0 | -2.0 | 1:0 vs Everton W (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Aston Villa W (-2.1) |
5 | Manchester Utd W | 22 | 42 | 38.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 4 | +2.6 | -2.1 | 0:2 vs Brighton W (+1.1) | 0:0 vs Aston Villa W (-1.3) |
6 | West Ham W | 22 | 27 | 24.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 7 | -0.2 | +3.2 | 0:2 vs Manchester City W (+2.8) | 3:0 vs Leicester W (-1.9) |
7 | Brighton W | 22 | 26 | 23.3 | +2.7Outperforming | 8 | +0.7 | +2.0 | 0:1 vs Everton W (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Birmingham W (-2.3) |
8 | Aston Villa W | 22 | 21 | 19.7 | +1.3On expectation | 10 | -5.8 | +7.1 | 0:1 vs Tottenham W (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Birmingham W (-1.8) |
9 | Manchester City W | 22 | 47 | 47.9 | -0.9On expectation | 2 | -1.5 | +0.6 | 1:0 vs Manchester Utd W (+1.0) | 0:2 vs West Ham W (-2.7) |
10 | Leicester W | 22 | 13 | 14.2 | -1.2On expectation | 11 | +2.0 | -4.2 | 3:0 vs West Ham W (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Aston Villa W (-1.4) |
11 | Birmingham W | 22 | 11 | 12.3 | -1.3On expectation | 12 | -3.4 | +2.1 | 2:0 vs Arsenal W (+2.9) | 1:2 vs Leicester W (-1.4) |
12 | Everton W | 22 | 20 | 25.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 6 | -6.8 | -1.7 | 0:1 vs Aston Villa W (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Brighton W (-1.8) |
