WSL 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Chelsea W | 22 | 58 | 43.7 | +14.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +5.6 | -0.4 | 1:3 vs Manchester Utd W (+1.3) | 2:1 vs Liverpool W (-2.7) |
2 | Aston Villa W | 22 | 37 | 25.6 | +11.4Outperforming ++ | 6 | -2.6 | +8.0 | 4:3 vs Manchester City W (+2.6) | 1:2 vs West Ham W (-1.7) |
3 | Manchester Utd W | 22 | 56 | 45.9 | +10.1Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.6 | +6.5 | 2:3 vs Arsenal W (+2.2) | 0:0 vs Everton W (-1.5) |
4 | Everton W | 22 | 30 | 24.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 7 | +2.6 | +3.1 | 0:3 vs Tottenham W (+1.9) | 3:2 vs Brighton W (-1.4) |
5 | West Ham W | 22 | 21 | 18.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 9 | -1.1 | +0.5 | 0:2 vs Tottenham W (+2.3) | 4:5 vs Brighton W (-2.0) |
6 | Liverpool W | 22 | 23 | 20.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 8 | +2.8 | -4.4 | 2:1 vs Chelsea W (+2.8) | 0:1 vs Leicester W (-1.9) |
7 | Leicester W | 22 | 16 | 14.4 | +1.6On expectation | 12 | +1.3 | +0.3 | 0:1 vs Liverpool W (+2.2) | 1:2 vs West Ham W (-1.6) |
8 | Manchester City W | 22 | 47 | 46.1 | +0.8On expectation | 2 | +3.7 | -2.9 | 2:1 vs Arsenal W (+1.7) | 4:3 vs Aston Villa W (-2.5) |
9 | Brighton W | 22 | 16 | 16.9 | -0.8On expectation | 10 | +0.1 | -1.9 | 4:5 vs West Ham W (+2.2) | 3:0 vs Leicester W (-1.6) |
10 | Arsenal W | 22 | 47 | 49.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 1 | -0.8 | -2.1 | 2:1 vs Manchester City W (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Aston Villa W (-2.4) |
11 | Reading W | 22 | 11 | 16.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 11 | +2.2 | -7.4 | 1:0 vs Tottenham W (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Leicester W (-1.3) |
12 | Tottenham W | 22 | 18 | 25.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 5 | -3.1 | -4.8 | 0:8 vs Brighton W (+1.5) | 0:2 vs West Ham W (-2.1) |
