Championshiphub →Championship 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ipswich | 46 | 96 | 80.4 | +15.6Outperforming ++ | 4 | +9.6 | +6.0 | 0:1 vs Southampton (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Cardiff (-1.9) |
2 | Preston | 46 | 63 | 53.8 | +9.2Outperforming ++ | 18 | +5.3 | +3.9 | 2:1 vs Leeds (+2.3) | 0:2 vs QPR (-1.6) |
3 | Cardiff | 46 | 62 | 53.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 20 | +1.9 | +6.7 | 2:1 vs Southampton (+2.5) | 1:2 vs QPR (-1.8) |
4 | Leicester | 46 | 97 | 88.8 | +8.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +3.4 | +4.8 | 1:4 vs Southampton (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Plymouth (-2.2) |
5 | Norwich | 46 | 73 | 67.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 8 | +10.2 | -4.5 | 2:3 vs Cardiff (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Rotherham (-1.8) |
6 | Hull | 46 | 70 | 64.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 10 | -3.9 | +9.2 | 0:1 vs Leicester (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Swansea (-1.9) |
7 | West Brom | 46 | 75 | 70.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 6 | +8.7 | -4.1 | 1:0 vs Leeds (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Huddersfield (-1.9) |
8 | Bristol City | 46 | 62 | 58.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 14 | +4.0 | -0.2 | 1:0 vs Leicester (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Cardiff (-1.7) |
9 | Southampton | 46 | 87 | 83.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 3 | +1.3 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Leeds (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Cardiff (-2.4) |
10 | Plymouth | 46 | 51 | 48.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 23 | +6.8 | -3.9 | 1:0 vs Leicester (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Preston (-1.5) |
11 | QPR | 46 | 56 | 53.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 19 | -3.8 | +6.4 | 1:2 vs Leicester (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Sheffield Wed (-1.7) |
12 | Millwall | 46 | 59 | 57.7 | +1.3On expectation | 15 | -1.1 | +2.5 | 1:2 vs Southampton (+2.4) | 2:1 vs Rotherham (-2.0) |
13 | Swansea | 46 | 57 | 56.8 | +0.2On expectation | 16 | -3.9 | +4.1 | 0:1 vs Hull (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Plymouth (-1.7) |
14 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 53 | 53.0 | -0.0On expectation | 21 | +0.9 | -0.9 | 0:2 vs QPR (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Cardiff (-1.6) |
15 | Leeds | 46 | 90 | 91.9 | -1.9On expectation | 1 | +2.9 | -4.8 | 0:1 vs Leicester (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Blackburn (-2.3) |
16 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 69 | 71.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 5 | -5.9 | +3.6 | 1:2 vs Leicester (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Plymouth (-2.2) |
17 | Coventry | 46 | 64 | 67.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 7 | -2.9 | -0.7 | 0:3 vs Sunderland (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Cardiff (-2.2) |
18 | Birmingham | 46 | 50 | 54.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 17 | +3.7 | -8.4 | 0:1 vs Cardiff (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Cardiff (-1.8) |
19 | Stoke | 46 | 56 | 61.6 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 13 | -5.0 | -0.7 | 0:2 vs Middlesbrough (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Preston (-1.7) |
20 | Huddersfield | 46 | 45 | 51.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 22 | -3.4 | -2.6 | 1:2 vs Sunderland (+2.3) | 0:4 vs Swansea (-1.6) |
21 | Watford | 46 | 56 | 62.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 11 | -8.6 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Hull (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Cardiff (-1.8) |
22 | Rotherham | 46 | 27 | 34.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 24 | +2.4 | -10.0 | 1:0 vs Middlesbrough (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Sheffield Wed (-1.2) |
23 | Blackburn | 46 | 53 | 62.1 | -9.1Underperforming −− | 12 | -10.2 | +1.1 | 0:1 vs Leeds (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Hull (-1.8) |
24 | Sunderland | 46 | 56 | 66.2 | -10.2Underperforming −− | 9 | -5.5 | -4.7 | 0:1 vs West Brom (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Huddersfield (-2.1) |