Superliga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Midtjylland | 14 | 32 | 25.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 2 | +3.3 | +2.8 | 2:3 vs Nordsjaelland (+1.8) | 1:1 vs Silkeborg (-1.3) |
2 | FC Copenhagen | 14 | 32 | 26.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 1 | +2.6 | +2.5 | 0:1 vs Brondby (+1.5) | 4:0 vs Viborg (-1.5) |
3 | Viborg | 14 | 26 | 21.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 6 | +4.0 | +0.0 | 4:1 vs Nordsjaelland (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Lyngby (-1.8) |
4 | Horsens | 14 | 16 | 13.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 12 | +1.7 | +1.2 | 1:2 vs Odense (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Viborg (-0.9) |
5 | Silkeborg | 15 | 16 | 14.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 10 | +2.7 | -0.7 | 0:4 vs Lyngby (+2.0) | 4:0 vs Sonderjyske (-1.2) |
6 | Odense | 14 | 17 | 16.6 | +0.4On expectation | 8 | +0.6 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs Randers FC (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Horsens (-1.9) |
7 | Brondby | 14 | 22 | 22.4 | -0.3On expectation | 5 | +2.1 | -2.4 | 2:0 vs Aarhus (+1.3) | 0:3 vs Randers FC (-2.0) |
8 | Nordsjaelland | 14 | 23 | 24.4 | -1.4On expectation | 3 | +1.8 | -3.2 | 3:1 vs Brondby (+1.4) | 2:3 vs Midtjylland (-1.6) |
9 | Sonderjyske | 14 | 9 | 13.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 11 | -0.5 | -3.7 | 4:2 vs Randers FC (+1.7) | 2:5 vs Horsens (-1.5) |
10 | Randers FC | 14 | 11 | 16.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 9 | -3.1 | -2.3 | 0:3 vs Brondby (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Odense (-1.6) |
11 | Lyngby | 14 | 11 | 17.4 | -6.4Underperforming −− | 7 | -2.2 | -4.2 | 0:2 vs Viborg (+2.0) | 0:4 vs Silkeborg (-1.8) |
12 | Aarhus | 15 | 16 | 22.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 4 | -1.3 | -5.6 | 2:1 vs Viborg (+1.5) | 2:1 vs Randers FC (-1.5) |
