Superliga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | FC Copenhagen | 9 | 24 | 17.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +3.6 | +3.1 | 0:1 vs Brondby (+1.5) | 4:0 vs Viborg (-1.5) |
2 | Horsens | 9 | 11 | 7.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 12 | +0.4 | +2.9 | 1:2 vs Odense (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Viborg (-0.9) |
3 | Silkeborg | 10 | 11 | 7.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 11 | +1.6 | +1.5 | 0:4 vs Lyngby (+2.0) | 3:1 vs Brondby (-0.6) |
4 | Viborg | 9 | 17 | 14.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 6 | +4.3 | -1.6 | 4:1 vs Nordsjaelland (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Lyngby (-1.8) |
5 | Nordsjaelland | 9 | 17 | 15.2 | +1.8On expectation | 4 | +4.3 | -2.5 | 3:1 vs Brondby (+1.4) | 4:1 vs Viborg (-1.6) |
6 | Midtjylland | 9 | 19 | 17.6 | +1.4On expectation | 1 | +2.0 | -0.6 | 0:2 vs Aarhus (+1.5) | 1:1 vs Silkeborg (-1.3) |
7 | Randers FC | 9 | 10 | 10.7 | -0.7On expectation | 9 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 0:3 vs Brondby (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Odense (-1.6) |
8 | Brondby | 9 | 13 | 14.4 | -1.4On expectation | 5 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 1:0 vs Viborg (+1.3) | 0:3 vs Randers FC (-2.0) |
9 | Odense | 9 | 9 | 10.9 | -1.9On expectation | 8 | -1.2 | -0.7 | 1:2 vs Randers FC (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Horsens (-1.9) |
10 | Sonderjyske | 9 | 5 | 8.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 10 | -1.4 | -2.0 | 4:2 vs Randers FC (+1.7) | 2:5 vs Horsens (-1.5) |
11 | Lyngby | 9 | 7 | 12.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 7 | -3.7 | -1.5 | 0:2 vs Viborg (+2.0) | 0:4 vs Silkeborg (-1.8) |
12 | Aarhus | 10 | 6 | 15.6 | -9.6Underperforming −− | 3 | -4.8 | -4.8 | 2:2 vs Lyngby (+-0.4) | 2:1 vs Randers FC (-1.5) |
