Superligahub →Superliga 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Superliga splits into championship and relegation groups after round 22; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Brondby | 22 | 45 | 34.1 | +10.9Outperforming ++ | 4 | +5.3 | +5.6 | 1:2 vs FC Copenhagen (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Sonderjyske (-1.5) |
2 | Aarhus | 22 | 38 | 35.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 3 | +3.2 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Midtjylland (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Nordsjaelland (-2.0) |
3 | Nordsjaelland | 22 | 29 | 26.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 8 | +3.1 | -0.7 | 0:1 vs Aarhus (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Odense (-1.3) |
4 | Randers FC | 22 | 32 | 30.2 | +1.8On expectation | 6 | -2.1 | +3.9 | 2:1 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Sonderjyske (-1.6) |
5 | Sonderjyske | 22 | 28 | 26.4 | +1.6On expectation | 9 | +2.8 | -1.2 | 1:2 vs Midtjylland (+2.5) | 1:4 vs Lyngby (-1.6) |
6 | Midtjylland | 22 | 43 | 42.0 | +1.1On expectation | 1 | +2.6 | -1.6 | 2:3 vs Brondby (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Sonderjyske (-2.3) |
7 | Lyngby | 22 | 20 | 20.4 | -0.4On expectation | 12 | -3.3 | +2.9 | 2:0 vs Midtjylland (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Nordsjaelland (-1.4) |
8 | Odense | 22 | 28 | 29.8 | -1.8On expectation | 7 | +0.3 | -2.0 | 3:2 vs FC Copenhagen (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Lyngby (-1.9) |
9 | Vejle | 22 | 24 | 26.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 10 | -1.6 | -0.8 | 1:3 vs Aalborg (+2.0) | 3:1 vs Horsens (-1.6) |
10 | FC Copenhagen | 22 | 35 | 38.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 2 | -2.3 | -1.1 | 0:1 vs Aarhus (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Aalborg (-1.8) |
11 | Aalborg | 22 | 28 | 31.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 5 | -2.0 | -1.6 | 1:2 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Vejle (-1.7) |
12 | Horsens | 22 | 12 | 20.8 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 11 | -2.4 | -6.5 | 2:1 vs Aalborg (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Lyngby (-1.3) |