Superliga 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Superliga splits into championship and relegation groups after round 22; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Midtjylland | 22 | 48 | 36.2 | +11.8Outperforming ++ | 4 | +6.0 | +5.8 | 0:2 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Brondby (-1.6) |
2 | Brondby | 22 | 47 | 36.6 | +10.4Outperforming ++ | 3 | +2.9 | +7.5 | 0:1 vs Midtjylland (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Odense (-1.9) |
3 | FC Copenhagen | 22 | 45 | 41.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 1 | -0.6 | +3.8 | 2:3 vs Brondby (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Aarhus (-2.0) |
4 | Aarhus | 22 | 36 | 32.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 5 | -0.1 | +3.3 | 1:2 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Brondby (-1.5) |
5 | Odense | 22 | 24 | 25.6 | -1.6On expectation | 9 | -11.8 | +10.1 | 0:1 vs Nordsjaelland (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Hvidovre IF (-2.1) |
6 | Lyngby | 22 | 23 | 24.7 | -1.7On expectation | 10 | +1.9 | -3.6 | 4:1 vs Midtjylland (+1.8) | 2:4 vs Hvidovre IF (-2.0) |
7 | Randers FC | 22 | 23 | 25.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 8 | -1.4 | -1.4 | 1:0 vs Silkeborg (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Odense (-1.7) |
8 | Nordsjaelland | 22 | 37 | 40.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 2 | -0.5 | -3.0 | 1:3 vs Aarhus (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Odense (-2.3) |
9 | Vejle | 22 | 19 | 22.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 11 | -1.6 | -2.4 | 1:2 vs Odense (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Randers FC (-1.5) |
10 | Silkeborg | 22 | 27 | 31.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 6 | -0.4 | -3.6 | 1:3 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Randers FC (-1.6) |
11 | Hvidovre IF | 22 | 11 | 16.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 12 | -7.3 | +2.3 | 0:2 vs Odense (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Lyngby (-1.2) |
12 | Viborg | 22 | 23 | 28.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 7 | +2.2 | -8.0 | 2:1 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Randers FC (-1.6) |
