Superligahub →Superliga 2022-2023 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Superliga splits into championship and relegation groups after round 22; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nordsjaelland | 22 | 43 | 32.7 | +10.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +8.3 | +1.9 | 3:1 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Horsens (-1.5) |
2 | Viborg | 22 | 37 | 30.7 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +3.2 | +3.1 | 4:2 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.1) | 0:4 vs Midtjylland (-1.5) |
3 | Aarhus | 22 | 35 | 29.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 7 | +1.6 | +3.7 | 0:2 vs Midtjylland (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Nordsjaelland (-1.5) |
4 | Randers FC | 22 | 32 | 27.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 8 | +1.0 | +3.2 | 1:3 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.4) | 5:1 vs Horsens (-1.7) |
5 | Odense | 22 | 28 | 25.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 10 | +0.5 | +2.1 | 1:2 vs Midtjylland (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Nordsjaelland (-1.5) |
6 | FC Copenhagen | 22 | 42 | 40.7 | +1.3On expectation | 1 | +0.9 | +0.4 | 0:2 vs Aarhus (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Horsens (-2.3) |
7 | Horsens | 22 | 23 | 22.9 | +0.1On expectation | 12 | +5.3 | -5.2 | 0:1 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Brondby (-1.3) |
8 | Brondby | 22 | 30 | 32.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 5 | -0.3 | -2.1 | 0:1 vs Midtjylland (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Lyngby (-1.9) |
9 | Silkeborg | 22 | 29 | 33.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 3 | -1.9 | -2.5 | 1:3 vs Midtjylland (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Odense (-2.0) |
10 | Lyngby | 22 | 16 | 23.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 11 | -5.1 | -2.3 | 1:3 vs Midtjylland (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Odense (-1.5) |
11 | Midtjylland | 22 | 28 | 36.7 | -8.7Underperforming −− | 2 | -11.2 | +2.5 | 0:4 vs Viborg (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Aalborg (-2.1) |
12 | Aalborg | 22 | 15 | 25.5 | -10.5Underperforming −− | 9 | -6.9 | -3.6 | 0:2 vs Midtjylland (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Randers FC (-1.4) |