Superligahub →Superliga 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Aarhus | 32 | 67 | 53.2 | +13.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +5.1 | +8.7 | 2:3 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Sonderjyske (-2.1) |
2 | Sonderjyske | 32 | 44 | 34.6 | +9.4Outperforming ++ | 10 | +7.5 | +1.9 | 2:3 vs Aarhus (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Randers FC (-1.5) |
3 | Nordsjaelland | 32 | 50 | 45.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 5 | +4.6 | +0.1 | 0:1 vs Midtjylland (+2.4) | 2:4 vs Odense (-1.8) |
4 | Fredericia | 32 | 34 | 30.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 12 | -1.2 | +4.8 | 1:3 vs Brondby (+2.5) | 2:0 vs Vejle (-1.7) |
5 | Viborg | 32 | 44 | 41.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 8 | -0.3 | +2.7 | 0:2 vs Brondby (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Sonderjyske (-2.0) |
6 | Midtjylland | 32 | 60 | 58.8 | +1.2On expectation | 2 | -1.5 | +2.7 | 1:3 vs Brondby (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Nordsjaelland (-2.2) |
7 | Silkeborg | 32 | 36 | 35.7 | +0.3On expectation | 9 | -1.3 | +1.6 | 2:3 vs Odense (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Fredericia (-1.9) |
8 | Odense | 32 | 41 | 42.7 | -1.7On expectation | 7 | +0.0 | -1.7 | 2:4 vs Nordsjaelland (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Silkeborg (-2.0) |
9 | Brondby | 32 | 45 | 49.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 4 | -4.1 | +0.8 | 2:1 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Fredericia (-2.4) |
10 | Randers FC | 32 | 35 | 43.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 6 | -4.6 | -3.7 | 1:2 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Fredericia (-1.9) |
11 | Vejle | 32 | 24 | 32.6 | -8.6Underperforming −− | 11 | -2.7 | -5.9 | 2:0 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Fredericia (-1.7) |
12 | FC Copenhagen | 32 | 51 | 64.5 | -13.5Underperforming −− | 1 | -8.6 | -3.4 | 1:0 vs Brondby (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Fredericia (-2.3) |