Superligahub →Superliga 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Superliga splits into championship and relegation groups after round 22; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Midtjylland | 22 | 45 | 36.9 | +8.2Outperforming ++ | 4 | +10.2 | -2.0 | 2:1 vs FC Copenhagen (+1.5) | 3:2 vs Sonderjyske (-2.1) |
2 | Silkeborg | 22 | 33 | 27.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 8 | +0.7 | +5.0 | 0:2 vs Randers FC (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Lyngby (-1.9) |
3 | Randers FC | 22 | 35 | 31.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 6 | +1.0 | +3.0 | 4:0 vs Nordsjaelland (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Sonderjyske (-1.8) |
4 | Aarhus | 22 | 36 | 35.9 | +0.1On expectation | 5 | +3.6 | -3.5 | 0:1 vs Brondby (+1.8) | 3:2 vs Vejle (-2.0) |
5 | Viborg | 22 | 28 | 28.0 | -0.0On expectation | 7 | +4.0 | -4.1 | 3:2 vs FC Copenhagen (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Aalborg (-1.8) |
6 | FC Copenhagen | 22 | 41 | 41.9 | -0.9On expectation | 1 | +2.4 | -3.3 | 1:2 vs Randers FC (+1.5) | 3:2 vs Viborg (-1.8) |
7 | Aalborg | 22 | 21 | 22.2 | -1.2On expectation | 10 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 2:3 vs Viborg (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Randers FC (-1.1) |
8 | Lyngby | 22 | 18 | 20.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 11 | -1.0 | -1.6 | 0:1 vs Silkeborg (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Vejle (-1.4) |
9 | Nordsjaelland | 22 | 35 | 37.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 3 | +4.0 | -6.8 | 4:1 vs Brondby (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Lyngby (-1.8) |
10 | Sonderjyske | 22 | 17 | 22.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 9 | -3.1 | -2.3 | 3:2 vs Midtjylland (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Aalborg (-1.5) |
11 | Brondby | 22 | 33 | 39.6 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 2 | -1.4 | -5.3 | 1:5 vs Midtjylland (+1.7) | 4:2 vs Randers FC (-1.5) |
12 | Vejle | 22 | 13 | 20.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.4 | -4.9 | 3:2 vs Aarhus (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Lyngby (-1.2) |